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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives

As of 19 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 18 of 18 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2606.16511.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2606.16511 v2

Coverage vector

measured 18 of 18 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z

measured 18 of 18 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

18 of 18 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact1
  • verified fuzzy14
  • unresolved2
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch1

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 9e199cb6-93d4-431a-aa60-9f98613b70c7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.982296Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:40d225e6a393b7f0cc6777c4aa901d7589b7f4fe89bbb01692d76eb425fbf3fd

Observation 0efd2508-7d08-4190-b86a-03711de820c9 · outbound

This paper cites International Conference on Machine Learning , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives International Conference on Machine Learning , pages=

Reference 2

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.980060Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:b6c86fb4d4cea754bc22f9eb3d800c136bc947ecb8cb9c39c83779a0dcdb9c98

Observation 2bb1ac28-1c63-460b-8a4b-302c18da28ac · outbound

This paper cites The annals of statistics , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives The annals of statistics , pages=

Reference 3

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.984226Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:9942fe32634d7d14b9c6e5fb23fd35ce0adc6bab6fa13e74ea8a89bc7b9753a8

Observation ec9091a5-6208-4703-9249-7419f20858c8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.985823Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:413a6cf2970e16e2d6fdc6185edfc4d627d003e3d90414d4ab5d6cbcd64f9d70

Observation 241ef660-2d8f-4f8c-b1e2-b78d5a219ff5 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of pharmacokinetics and biopharmaceutics , volume=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Journal of pharmacokinetics and biopharmaceutics , volume=

Reference 5

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:22.000880Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:6b9733c375b657cda269e2900cf868dfa4bd9d6b3f54020ff0be7ad58954631a

Observation e54a0e5b-a504-444e-966c-ef70679216e3 · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 56th annual meeting of the association for computational linguistics (volume 1: Long papers) , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Proceedings of the 56th annual meeting of the association for computational linguistics (volume 1: Long papers) , pages=

Reference 6

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:22.006895Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:8bf239fef64b05eb9fc4ae20a38d88f7d60d2641b08a82cd65ec180eecfefddf

Observation 0a686138-e3af-466b-8b2b-f286ae524d1b · outbound

This paper cites deep-significance - Easy and Meaningful Statistical Significance Testing in the Age of Neural Networks.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives deep-significance - Easy and Meaningful Statistical Significance Testing in the Age of Neural Networks

Reference 7

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-02T22:17:25.821554Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:eb827bc4fb2a367d56b049d3768f2442c491b9283fb97386979a24372344dffc

Observation c398b99c-57f5-42ce-a0af-57054d0bc82c · outbound

This paper cites International Conference on Machine Learning , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives International Conference on Machine Learning , pages=

Reference 8

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:22.004771Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:eb132769225a9c354ac58dc2e4685ecb2b0d43acf1cf41fada65fdb1d051a7be

Observation f2ed9167-94d4-4f57-85ce-a074309b075b · outbound

This paper cites Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , volume=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , volume=

Reference 9

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.998841Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:f3010a89d45e213e52891cb36427c336e86b14d63e081c73b33883cac9d860bb

Observation 2163ac17-9b51-4b65-be3e-b023e77eaea2 · outbound

This paper cites Statistical estimation of adversarial risk in large language models under best-of-n sampling.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Statistical estimation of adversarial risk in large language models under best-of-n sampling

Reference 10

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-02T22:17:25.824253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:98021804b6882ccd1f349877f24b5611127a26fc85cd1b736a406a5520fb1d6a

Observation 71438cb3-068e-4a2f-b7e1-c765ea69d801 · outbound

This paper cites 6th International Conference on Learning Representations, ICLR 2018 , year=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives 6th International Conference on Learning Representations, ICLR 2018 , year=

Reference 11

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:22.002750Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:11bcc4d30912fdd70916b61668faf910df3e952d0b668d143affa846b0022d5c

Observation a744532f-d70d-42f5-ae2b-42a54dff87a6 · outbound

This paper cites Findings of the association for computational linguistics: EMNLP 2020 , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Findings of the association for computational linguistics: EMNLP 2020 , pages=

Reference 12

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.997022Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:5bdce0ad0154f9296e55abe4ba163c89f527addfde09ec0ae4e9202f22464075

Observation 797a48ab-585a-4e92-a192-9f562d2f5925 · outbound

This paper cites the Annals of Statistics , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives the Annals of Statistics , pages=

Reference 13

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.995159Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:1cfbd14ca1e144670d47bcfeca7879d5e6c6a6391bc579aecf2f67f189bbef78

Observation 723e54d1-c7c7-4dac-b8a7-41b8f554e806 · outbound

This paper cites The annals of Statistics , pages=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives The annals of Statistics , pages=

Reference 14

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.991207Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:b4c3fc25cf803db387c9c79ea1c5cc76989165af92fa78592f9f309714ab71b7

Observation c5aec8b7-230e-400b-be60-91764ecf7ebc · outbound

This paper cites 2001 , publisher=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives 2001 , publisher=

Reference 15

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.993245Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:8da6da168b3d5d0df1065a4a198199c7324a227c51dca5a5b180a89ef259839f

Observation d4a08dca-f14c-49dc-8e2e-fd61f27c6b8d · outbound

This paper cites Choulakian and M.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives Choulakian and M

Reference 16

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.989401Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:61f70d1a9b28c45c3289c7df95e5c5b81f4da6c35258f29fe5b527add5deec65

Observation cf5c070c-376f-4318-88ef-4ac4ea8485ea · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives 2025 , eprint=

Reference 17

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.975444Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:1e4b4a2f4370f204de0e01c6601a5853256e0db8101a7d61c2f9227b462934ba

Observation 2c09005a-b2ef-49c5-a7b1-61a10dad3090 · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , eprint=.

Tail-Shape Estimation in LLM Evaluation Is Fragile: A Protocol for Diagnosing False Positives 2024 , eprint=

Reference 18

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-07-05T19:11:21.987702Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-02T22:08:11.348274Z digest=sha256:e6d8581ee044a937520d7aa134939bcef88cd3437f7dbc5563a5abeb6610c81d

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.