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Hierarchical inference of evidence using posterior samples

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arxiv 2405.07504 v1 pith:KP2XAULM submitted 2024-05-13 stat.ME

classification stat.ME
keywords evidencehierarchicalposteriorbayesianmodelsamplesanalysisapproximant
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The Bayesian evidence, crucial ingredient for model selection, is arguably the most important quantity in Bayesian data analysis: at the same time, however, it is also one of the most difficult to compute. In this paper we present a hierarchical method that leverages on a multivariate normalised approximant for the posterior probability density to infer the evidence for a model in a hierarchical fashion using a set of posterior samples drawn using an arbitrary sampling scheme.

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Cited by 1 Pith paper

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Savage-Dickey density ratio estimation with normalizing flows for Bayesian model comparison

    astro-ph.CO 2025-06 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A normalizing flow estimates the normalized marginal posterior in the Savage-Dickey density ratio, enabling Bayes factors for nested models with many extra parameters.

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