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arxiv: 2601.20386 · v2 · pith:LOLBX47Inew · submitted 2026-01-28 · 📊 stat.ME

SCORE: A Unified Framework for Overshoot Refund in Online FDR Control

classification 📊 stat.ME
keywords controlframeworkonlinepowerscoretestingunifiedvalid
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We propose a unified framework to enhance the power of online multiple hypothesis testing procedures based on $e$-values. While $e$-value-based methods offer robust online False Discovery Rate (FDR) control under minimal assumptions, they often suffer from power loss by discarding evidence that exceeds the rejection threshold. We address this inefficiency via the Sequential Control with Overshoot Refund for E-values (SCORE) framework, which leverages the inequality $\mathbb{I}(y \ge 1) \le y - (y-1)_+$, valid for all $y\ge 0$, to reclaim this otherwise wasted evidence. This simple yet powerful insight yields a unified principle for improving a broad class of online testing algorithms. Building on this framework, we develop SCORE-enhanced versions of several state-of-the-art procedures, including SCORE-LOND, SCORE-LORD, and SCORE-SAFFRON, all of which strictly dominate their original counterparts while preserving valid finite-sample FDR control. Furthermore, under mild assumptions, SCORE permits retroactive updates of alpha-wealth by using the latest decision twice: first to determine its reward or loss, and then to refresh past wealth. Such a mechanism enables more aggressive testing strategies while maintaining valid FDR control, thereby further improving statistical power. The effectiveness of the proposed methods is validated through extensive simulation and real-data experiments.

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  1. A Regret Perspective on Online Multiple Testing

    stat.ML 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    The paper proves that deterministic FDR-controlling procedures incur linear regret in online multiple testing and introduces DOMT, a perturbation-based meta-wrapper that reduces regret to order-optimal sublinear level...