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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings

As of 8 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2506.00348.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.00348 v1

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.683123Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact4
  • verified fuzzy5
  • unresolved6
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier1
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 1cfe828e-362b-4eed-ad5a-84a5d0380527 · outbound

This paper cites The Methodology of Officially Recognized International Sports Rating Systems,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings The Methodology of Officially Recognized International Sports Rating Systems,

Reference 1

Resolution
verified exact
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:47.438169Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

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Observation 37125f16-a769-4f1e-bb57-8872d9a22c77 · outbound

This paper cites TrueSkill™: A Bayesian Skill Rating System,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings TrueSkill™: A Bayesian Skill Rating System,

Reference 2

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:48.281490Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.101823Z digest=sha256:1a3873af765dc47665213949e208915d742bae7ce8e0ec42ae21b34c06864cfe

Observation 6bd8d6d0-3e20-4a36-aec0-5d5dbca1e2d4 · outbound

This paper cites Whole-History Rating: A Bayesian Rating System for Players of Time-Varying Strength,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Whole-History Rating: A Bayesian Rating System for Players of Time-Varying Strength,

Reference 3

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:48.210393Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.110783Z digest=sha256:6e7c0e45829813fe115a74c381bf8c6f0df347b1bc4126657097369273f0d999

Observation f3284e2c-e90a-4cd7-925c-9b5632a5ab39 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:48.102206Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.115701Z digest=sha256:0b143dec360e2e95785943112529ce1be507174bfd3ce03d48fa6971b2c94320

Observation 169b86ef-c859-48bc-a9a5-13194c81d3e6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:47.982300Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.120698Z digest=sha256:581c7b798b455856545fd089f362e7585f5cfe64bda9430ff433b6445d307b2a

Observation f43d394e-b5d6-41fb-a5b5-078c2444396a · outbound

This paper cites Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football,

Reference 6

Resolution
malformed identifier
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.131597Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.131597Z digest=sha256:e4df5179f7c756c57195643f73807d6d537719c3dc81e1b5878e0aa0e6547dd5

Observation b2c2ba7d-5831-4af2-9e0d-cfddb92c1aa1 · outbound

This paper cites A Comprehensive Guide to Chess Ratings,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings A Comprehensive Guide to Chess Ratings,

Reference 7

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:47.807689Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.195587Z digest=sha256:c52c41314415bcddb36a9b0f8333ddd89d3dc3b526cbb9ab5346a27baa320fa3

Observation 6e467385-1e33-46c8-ad87-ce9f4fc753e7 · outbound

This paper cites Cerebellar and Brainstem Differences in Children with Developmental Coordination Disorder: A V oxel-Based Morphometry Study,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Cerebellar and Brainstem Differences in Children with Developmental Coordination Disorder: A V oxel-Based Morphometry Study,

Reference 8

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:47.043196Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.269876Z digest=sha256:eaa970e2525b0988b710d273c701ddd4b7ae4a192a9b3ca46fdb2ac9974380d3

Observation b980093e-09e6-4a90-b776-458da9d96d30 · outbound

This paper cites Parameter estimation in large dynamic paired com- parison experiments,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Parameter estimation in large dynamic paired com- parison experiments,

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.342028Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.342028Z digest=sha256:6942940f5013b3d5367cdb89cfdf6fd0cc9d8b4dbdfb34d29285bd8982abc99f

Observation 034d1b60-91c6-4493-918e-debb9e9f65ca · outbound

This paper cites Default Probability,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Default Probability,

Reference 10

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.912774Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

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Observation 5ac383a3-1e43-45f6-85bb-2fbf11c28ee8 · outbound

This paper cites Building an NCAA men’s basketball predictive model and quantifying its success,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Building an NCAA men’s basketball predictive model and quantifying its success,

Reference 11

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.784488Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

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Observation c59b8e61-2608-4e7e-849a-f0c80aa1dfb2 · outbound

This paper cites Reinforcement Learning in Dynamic Environments,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Reinforcement Learning in Dynamic Environments,

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.582135Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.582135Z digest=sha256:89fff468ce5261c3814764536338be933b49be9f37edb0952beff881f43abc21

Observation 6d0c4633-5425-45c9-b55a-ac76826350e8 · outbound

This paper cites Example of the Glicko-2 System,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Example of the Glicko-2 System,

Reference 13

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:47.627402Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

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Observation 8dce49c9-5f0d-4922-9850-c895479e1f08 · outbound

This paper cites Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization

Reference 14

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.645985Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.645985Z digest=sha256:57a41945f59d4151321086b920a3e83a20b9a1cf6a94a664f557c3bea9f56e38

Observation 29836ce8-1335-40cf-84cf-3cdaf2d46a99 · outbound

This paper cites Basketball Dataset.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings Basketball Dataset

Reference 15

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:47.506425Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.663781Z digest=sha256:8119d698edaacbc7f52ec767c1938d089e85d6dee1af2de1e02c43c2131323bd

Observation 8b415298-c67a-4f07-834a-75640f2f6bb3 · outbound

This paper cites SciPy 1.0: Fundamental Algorithms for Scientific Computing in Python,.

Beyond Winning: Margin of Victory Relative to Expectation Unlocks Accurate Skill Ratings SciPy 1.0: Fundamental Algorithms for Scientific Computing in Python,

Reference 16

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:12:46.683123Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T12:12:46.683123Z digest=sha256:bab08a7c557e3343a51288835a77ac33d235174474c7bc79efb280c9f845be79

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.