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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events

As of 15 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 11 of 11 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2605.31254.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2605.31254 v1

Coverage vector

measured 11 of 11 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

measured 11 of 11 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

11 of 11 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact3
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved8
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 33395e7e-5ef1-4d44-a1c0-4b0b24ff2d9e · outbound

This paper cites Extremes of structural causal models.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Extremes of structural causal models

Reference 1

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:43.814559Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:1806e953b3d2aa4a7ff004869f72a312d0b3079fe6dfa1f19197743f6233ead1

Observation 270dfdcd-cffd-4fb6-bde1-cf8a7a1f3093 · outbound

This paper cites doi: https://doi.org/ 10.1016/B978-0-12-407795-9.00001-3.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events doi: https://doi.org/ 10.1016/B978-0-12-407795-9.00001-3

Reference 2

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:43.375816Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:c2eee345aba903cb8cdad693bf15f7f50670f8f9e2272834e8610a4f6f3951a3

Observation 5ed06da8-c8e5-4361-9444-a2380dd0b74b · outbound

This paper cites Pearl, J.Causality.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Pearl, J.Causality

Reference 3

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:8017bdb46ac1e1251ed33e0e46b62ee7c7f20c8e87023ebe8ff01da225ae96a5

Observation 9182f030-16b6-447e-88c9-c3c2fa865557 · outbound

This paper cites Sch¨olkopf, B., Locatello, F., Bauer, S., Ke, N.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Sch¨olkopf, B., Locatello, F., Bauer, S., Ke, N

Reference 4

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:28c588c5a11ef259156bcd9244e24c8adb6a911f1fd550a3310accf6ca91b644

Observation a109508f-d6bb-42bf-b69d-dcd30e84d385 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:43.375545Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-15T06:32:42.880941+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:db712d54c99b157a0171344627c701f6e0336e4d3553a91e7c1d41f1dc2c882b

Observation 90242d26-e212-46eb-b20b-ec0c2e8fe035 · outbound

This paper cites 12 Formalizing and Falsifying Causal Pathways of Rare Events A.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events 12 Formalizing and Falsifying Causal Pathways of Rare Events A

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:7f28e9f565f26413ef6a09ec112d59f5a228482b772a510ebe833c71ed1c288e

Observation 56ae8d55-b1e7-4563-acc2-652602f7491d · outbound

This paper cites Y= 1 would not have occurred if X had been set to 0 (for that particular statistical unit).

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Y= 1 would not have occurred if X had been set to 0 (for that particular statistical unit)

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:73ec147f65ad15661a4a9f41d67d8183f600c724fec947f10b953b1980f3d566

Observation f98f502e-70e2-40d2-92cc-9831ccac55b6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:d547ca0e3d4858b176b7658f58c30b7b57de0d1a813aa0c6bcc9397451cf323a

Observation aa28eea3-5428-4afa-82ad-c7cae8b59d36 · outbound

This paper cites Psychotic episodes can involve behavior that severely damages relationships (paranoid accusations, erratic actions, inability to recognize loved ones’ intentions).

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Psychotic episodes can involve behavior that severely damages relationships (paranoid accusations, erratic actions, inability to recognize loved ones’ intentions)

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:fa526def21018f8eae6924345dfd9affe5704ff6d0333ffabeab4fee6f83142c

Observation b30c5d39-5d90-4937-8b83-5fafb50a55cf · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:fd2af12ed9c8963d5859f30dce6398ef3a27dc0ba436ddbf1e1dc2a021a85512

Observation def73c14-4b72-457d-90a9-991ddb0ada27 · outbound

This paper cites This is a specific tragic pathway.

Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events This is a specific tragic pathway

Reference 11

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:32:30.951427Z digest=sha256:368566706d0a7e9eb69592f280d120e75f904f1167563ccb8e99f8d5454ae059

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.