Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.847745Z
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems
As of 21 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 89 of 89 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2411.10588.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Coverage vector
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-16T00:19:16.973228Z
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: pith, observed 2026-08-05T05:04:49.108420Z
Reference resolution
89 of 89 outbound references displayed
- verified exact0
- verified fuzzy44
- unresolved42
- parse uncertain0
- malformed identifier2
- metadata mismatch1
External citation measurements
No source-named external measurement is stored.
Outbound references
Observation 920e22b0-b511-4fa0-9bb0-fdcba7f8d4f1 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 1
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.490065Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 003457cb-3353-4cee-81ee-dd0a61c28f43 · outbound
This paper cites recommend action.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems recommend action
Reference 2
- Resolution
- malformed identifier
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.493959Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation e82ef016-a4ad-4ea2-9a35-8622cfdc4293 · outbound
This paper cites - 40% of the time, the predictor will have incorrectly predicted you'd two-box and left box B empty.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - 40% of the time, the predictor will have incorrectly predicted you'd two-box and left box B empty
Reference 3
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.507520Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 36358759-bcf4-40a5-b0c0-6ab5fad2ed91 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 4
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.512458Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 3aa09ac2-9d00-4ccb-b947-485cdd46d239 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 5
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.517019Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 737f16b1-656d-4b33-a2f5-7f197c90ba63 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 6
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.499383Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation cb0dd1e8-46b7-48ae-ac55-402ba8e84ce8 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 7
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.503396Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation bc1347ba-d054-4507-801d-dc8efe9d0490 · outbound
This paper cites Therefore, EDT would recommend the action that provides evidence for the highest total payoff, which in this case is a2.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Therefore, EDT would recommend the action that provides evidence for the highest total payoff, which in this case is a2
Reference 8
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.793938Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation a03ee966-d957-4587-8631-24c38998454b · outbound
This paper cites But if Alice believes the predictor is slightly less accurate, say 59%, then: A1 = $590,000 B1 = $590,000 - ε (where ε is a small positive number).
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems But if Alice believes the predictor is slightly less accurate, say 59%, then: A1 = $590,000 B1 = $590,000 - ε (where ε is a small positive number)
Reference 9
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.664750Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation d30a0c27-c018-49c4-bcbd-57391d5bbe24 · outbound
This paper cites Therefore, it is indeed possible for A1 to be greater than B1, depending on Alice's beliefs about the predictor's accuracy.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Therefore, it is indeed possible for A1 to be greater than B1, depending on Alice's beliefs about the predictor's accuracy
Reference 10
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.644473Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation fe15f81b-62d2-431c-87f9-d09f50054aa2 · outbound
This paper cites 38 FINAL ANSWER: A.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems 38 FINAL ANSWER: A
Reference 11
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.521676Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 3fbfeacf-59c8-4cdc-b0c7-007ef982ef0d · outbound
This paper cites CDT suggests that we should choose the action that maximizes expected utility based on the causal consequences of our actions.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems CDT suggests that we should choose the action that maximizes expected utility based on the causal consequences of our actions
Reference 12
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.525588Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c74e07c3-3bc3-4cdd-813c-b7a57fc56f07 · outbound
This paper cites The money is already placed before we make our choice.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems The money is already placed before we make our choice
Reference 13
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:32.083859Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 20252fd0-2392-46b6-81d9-43b79b6ac91b · outbound
This paper cites - If we choose C or D, there's an 80% chance the money is in the envelope we chose.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - If we choose C or D, there's an 80% chance the money is in the envelope we chose
Reference 14
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:32.069697Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 461d739e-6c1c-48dd-a798-1da3e3b9afe2 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 15
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:32.055343Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 7a0ce0b8-0022-4023-9666-6baed393c1dd · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 16
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:32.041546Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation e188ec70-e6ac-40a6-9f42-c7f284aa7d0e · outbound
This paper cites The expected value is the same for both.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems The expected value is the same for both
Reference 17
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:32.027145Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation dc7219c0-ddbf-4829-8332-3d111c33e8bf · outbound
This paper cites 39 Given this reasoning, the answer that best aligns with CDT's recommendations is C: CDT suggests that we should be indifferent between C and D and prefer these over A and B.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems 39 Given this reasoning, the answer that best aligns with CDT's recommendations is C: CDT suggests that we should be indifferent between C and D and prefer these over A and B
Reference 18
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:32.013261Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 2f693ddf-b4c5-452a-b43d-b430060cb024 · outbound
This paper cites CDT advises choosing the action that maximizes expected utility, based on the causal consequences of that action.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems CDT advises choosing the action that maximizes expected utility, based on the causal consequences of that action
Reference 19
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.997715Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 6a36c567-3878-404b-8a6a-f3e7a126bda9 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 20
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.976670Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 7681376c-92bb-43d2-a2f0-d4245c03cc3c · outbound
This paper cites This creates a correlation, but not a causal relationship.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems This creates a correlation, but not a causal relationship
Reference 21
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.956066Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 0c054449-8f44-4f75-84bb-eed36a701d88 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 22
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.939617Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 06d9137a-e68b-410a-8363-efc1727464c1 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 23
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.921576Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 8b155c78-0a88-4543-b3c7-60653a2e1ce8 · outbound
This paper cites Towards the Scalable Evaluation of Cooperativeness in Language Models.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Towards the Scalable Evaluation of Cooperativeness in Language Models
Reference 24
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.908598Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation b872ccc2-791f-45b3-9a60-42fbdc285767 · outbound
This paper cites It only considers the causal effects of Alice's action on her own payoff.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems It only considers the causal effects of Alice's action on her own payoff
Reference 25
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.907024Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation f2bba3b5-dd5b-44f4-867e-a2a455fd1bab · outbound
This paper cites EDT suggests choosing the action that, if you learned you had chosen it, would give you the best news about the outcome.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems EDT suggests choosing the action that, if you learned you had chosen it, would give you the best news about the outcome
Reference 26
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.894060Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 96469550-870f-4971-bf8f-538e6bf655b0 · outbound
This paper cites This suggests that Alice's choice is likely to be correlated with Bob's choice.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems This suggests that Alice's choice is likely to be correlated with Bob's choice
Reference 27
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.881399Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 5aeeff23-4df4-4b9e-8c73-61b2efdbc6d6 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 28
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.866619Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 993d55c3-8aeb-4195-a8ac-16575995bbf0 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 29
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.852139Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 8db07964-74d0-4817-a253-aa6539eee7bd · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 30
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.837372Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 15335c93-f16c-4933-9890-1a29c143d575 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 31
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.823090Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 8525c7e5-a077-4920-a82e-5ca611189f9a · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 32
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.808692Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 29730642-a035-4b34-b7e0-c321c360d54a · outbound
This paper cites - Evidential decision theory (EDT) typically recommends one-boxing.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - Evidential decision theory (EDT) typically recommends one-boxing
Reference 33
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.780359Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation cf7e1fb5-d284-465e-b19c-9c59808c6359 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 34
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.765745Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation f422d69c-ba7f-4902-9bfe-0be97f8f8d58 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 35
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.751575Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation d0cefd62-43b6-4e40-96eb-f556dd4e7dc7 · outbound
This paper cites - The causal expected payoff (A1 and A2) would still favor two-boxing, as it always does.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - The causal expected payoff (A1 and A2) would still favor two-boxing, as it always does
Reference 36
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.730731Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation e2b6b1bd-fb5c-43ac-9292-cc17e6c157dc · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 37
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.714530Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 91498fc8-20d8-4df4-a6e3-8e8bf31277bd · outbound
This paper cites This could happen if Alice believes the predictor has some accuracy, but not enough to make one-boxing evidentially better than two-boxing.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems This could happen if Alice believes the predictor has some accuracy, but not enough to make one-boxing evidentially better than two-boxing
Reference 38
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.698719Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation ba548928-1d98-4141-b56e-5940a10b467c · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 39
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.682193Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation e4192028-9ca5-4ec9-83d9-d1fec6629799 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 42
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.625700Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 6472efe0-1c7d-47fe-a744-4fe19e633f38 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 43
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.609419Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation e20eefd5-6f62-4326-9829-0b3b2a57a4e3 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 44
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.594192Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation a8a6822a-7969-4a1a-9051-fc985b2ea305 · outbound
This paper cites - So, if you choose a1, you'd expect your copies to also choose a1.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - So, if you choose a1, you'd expect your copies to also choose a1
Reference 45
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.580977Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation bc1d2c3f-3834-4a61-bdf6-42b30d2085a3 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 46
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.562132Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation f93d953a-d4e3-4dc2-ae3f-5c01eb6b8789 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 47
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.544524Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 08a81e2d-c33f-41de-b2d7-f83cd0acace2 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 48
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.529192Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 21125c42-dc21-4bee-8b77-0a6452727eaf · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 49
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.514532Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation c48cfb1d-2648-48ff-94cf-e97cdb726720 · outbound
This paper cites Therefore, in this problem, evidential decision theory does not recommend the policy that maximizes social welfare.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Therefore, in this problem, evidential decision theory does not recommend the policy that maximizes social welfare
Reference 50
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.501935Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation d60bfc95-2034-4b6b-9385-c86845c22677 · outbound
This paper cites CDT makes decisions based on the causal consequences of actions, not on evidential correlations.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems CDT makes decisions based on the causal consequences of actions, not on evidential correlations
Reference 51
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.489582Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 0a7b44ae-9c11-46c5-9ca5-cd40f84acd33 · outbound
This paper cites Her prediction and the money placement happened in the past, before the agent makes a decision.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Her prediction and the money placement happened in the past, before the agent makes a decision
Reference 52
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.474382Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 6a7ce954-2134-49fd-8b6b-acf58a2c737f · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 53
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.457762Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 668118fb-120a-4130-968b-884ca008165f · outbound
This paper cites The placement of money is already determined.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems The placement of money is already determined
Reference 54
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.441689Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 07b901c6-5ce7-4898-b0ae-5d9d388c84a1 · outbound
This paper cites Clearly, choosing C or D has a higher expected value ($80) than choosing A or B ($20).
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Clearly, choosing C or D has a higher expected value ($80) than choosing A or B ($20)
Reference 55
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.424000Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 4ad546f2-4116-44c6-98dd-3d7d439a5634 · outbound
This paper cites Given this reasoning, CDT would indeed prefer one of C and D over one of A and B.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Given this reasoning, CDT would indeed prefer one of C and D over one of A and B
Reference 56
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.407584Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 3cbf306b-14a6-4d5c-a6a5-2bf29587c88b · outbound
This paper cites This indicates that Alice prefers a safer, lower-payoff option over a potentially higher-payoff but riskier option that requires cooperation.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems This indicates that Alice prefers a safer, lower-payoff option over a potentially higher-payoff but riskier option that requires cooperation
Reference 57
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.393080Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation f727c11a-7608-44b7-96a8-bcec1606119d · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 58
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.378451Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 23d4621a-6536-424c-b233-f5dd9da7f67d · outbound
This paper cites trusting.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems trusting
Reference 59
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.362747Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 382b1286-59d8-4445-9128-da072f7afcc6 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 60
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.348820Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 4f17d1e2-ab6d-4644-9733-dd1e666048e8 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 61
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.335170Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation e2b94d8a-244b-4995-bfbb-9300e6260146 · outbound
This paper cites predictor.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems predictor
Reference 62
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.321673Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 0a95e936-aa2d-490e-a2ba-d429c537d853 · outbound
This paper cites predictor.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems predictor
Reference 63
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.308139Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 104b018b-9706-496d-a051-c3d86aa8988d · outbound
This paper cites The content of the boxes will be determined after she makes her choice.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems The content of the boxes will be determined after she makes her choice
Reference 64
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.294612Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 43769470-3904-44fe-a86c-27c48397a11b · outbound
This paper cites It recommends choosing the action that will lead to the best consequences, given the causal structure of the situation.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems It recommends choosing the action that will lead to the best consequences, given the causal structure of the situation
Reference 65
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.280751Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 35e64888-8452-49f8-b022-6ee8402eaedf · outbound
This paper cites predictor.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems predictor
Reference 66
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.267503Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation d222ea4e-f5a3-4415-ae6d-4e4e8f37016e · outbound
This paper cites - If Alice chooses both boxes, she is guaranteed to get at least 1 candy (from the transparent box), plus an 80% chance of getting 10 more candies from the opaque box.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - If Alice chooses both boxes, she is guaranteed to get at least 1 candy (from the transparent box), plus an 80% chance of getting 10 more candies from the opaque box
Reference 67
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.253304Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 93adb9ea-f7a0-4e18-ba63-8c6460353f80 · outbound
This paper cites - In the 20% of cases where the opaque box is empty, she gets 1 candy instead of 0.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - In the 20% of cases where the opaque box is empty, she gets 1 candy instead of 0
Reference 68
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.238870Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation d92588d3-c9dd-4067-a828-8659e4c11882 · outbound
This paper cites In this case, that's clearly two-boxing.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems In this case, that's clearly two-boxing
Reference 69
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.224962Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 40ef3fcb-4329-418a-8d05-b6fcde7035be · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 70
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.210886Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation b45688b3-a2da-437b-b62f-72389c0dfe0c · outbound
This paper cites - If you two-box, it's impossible for box A to contain the million dollars.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems - If you two-box, it's impossible for box A to contain the million dollars
Reference 71
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.197922Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 35ff5c55-8519-47b9-9e36-4ba9ef726130 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 72
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.183691Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 336bf425-49b6-4aa2-81d9-8d2712af2822 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 73
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.171062Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation f1ae2d7f-8cc3-4193-ac26-a7987bd7c3d6 · outbound
This paper cites This means the y_{2,0} outcome is not just possible, but guaranteed if you choose to two-box.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems This means the y_{2,0} outcome is not just possible, but guaranteed if you choose to two-box
Reference 74
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.157567Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 2c3e5da2-aa5b-4678-babb-f6007d39bdb8 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 75
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.143199Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation ebcf6220-1a45-42df-a8a1-6b847b1eda88 · outbound
This paper cites 48 Based on this reasoning, the principle does have something to say about whether the value of y_{2,0} should influence your decision.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems 48 Based on this reasoning, the principle does have something to say about whether the value of y_{2,0} should influence your decision
Reference 76
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.129656Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 45fac312-127b-4627-9a75-f513f145f9ac · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 77
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.116706Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 6dde481f-e1be-451e-beb6-fc6460eead7f · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 78
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.102496Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 79da5670-fb0f-46b1-aa45-ddc7d05a89c7 · outbound
This paper cites This means they make decisions based on the evidence of what their decision would indicate about the world, rather than on the causal consequences of their actions.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems This means they make decisions based on the evidence of what their decision would indicate about the world, rather than on the causal consequences of their actions
Reference 79
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.089290Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 801d7fb8-b687-473e-ac0d-9b81e6456ec5 · outbound
This paper cites Since we are identical, the fact that I chose to cooperate is strong evidence that Agent 2 would also choose to cooperate in my position. Therefore, I should cooperate as well.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Since we are identical, the fact that I chose to cooperate is strong evidence that Agent 2 would also choose to cooperate in my position. Therefore, I should cooperate as well
Reference 80
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.075251Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 4cffaacc-6d55-4b21-925c-7c1388e3ba07 · outbound
This paper cites Since we are identical, the fact that I chose to defect is strong evidence that Agent 2 would also choose to defect in my position. Therefore, I should defect as well.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Since we are identical, the fact that I chose to defect is strong evidence that Agent 2 would also choose to defect in my position. Therefore, I should defect as well
Reference 81
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.060262Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 1f07ba91-7bb2-445a-a75b-61ef80fd1368 · outbound
This paper cites Instead, it's about what Agent 2's decision indicates about the nature of agents like themselves.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Instead, it's about what Agent 2's decision indicates about the nature of agents like themselves
Reference 82
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.045101Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation ae35c076-aa54-4222-8438-1978b417241d · outbound
This paper cites recommend action.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems recommend action
Reference 83
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.029722Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 548c2d52-e902-4d1a-a891-375fb2a0670d · outbound
This paper cites like her.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems like her
Reference 84
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:31.015904Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 898bf867-e11e-4c1f-ab8b-d54cccc1eb54 · outbound
This paper cites evidential decision theory,.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems evidential decision theory,
Reference 85
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.999182Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 924fbf6c-3629-4075-ab5f-290efc53217c · outbound
This paper cites Each person makes their own independent decision.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Each person makes their own independent decision
Reference 86
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.984067Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation b4c133ba-eaac-4a9b-931d-e38ee70b58f4 · outbound
This paper cites if I stay home, everyone else like me will also stay home.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems if I stay home, everyone else like me will also stay home
Reference 87
- Resolution
- verified fuzzy
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.969386Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 17130158-f76f-41f0-9a26-7a944d3b2621 · outbound
This paper cites an unresolved cited work.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Unresolved cited work
Reference 88
- Resolution
- unresolved
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.954785Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation e0855b9a-6622-4bde-82b2-c55ca55fc1fb · outbound
This paper cites apply CDT.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems apply CDT
Reference 89
- Resolution
- malformed identifier
- raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.940372Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 4023745a-e78b-4846-9323-d073ce359660 · outbound
This paper cites Understanding the Interplay of Scale, Data, and Bias in Language Models: A Case Study with BERT.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Understanding the Interplay of Scale, Data, and Bias in Language Models: A Case Study with BERT
Reference 2001
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.472648Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 7f370a47-1ff0-4ecf-aabe-da65e857de0b · outbound
This paper cites Teaching language models to support answers with verified quotes.
A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems Teaching language models to support answers with verified quotes
Reference 2010
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-12T19:39:30.484630Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Pith citing papers
Observation 2f42ec70-1193-4e18-9c9d-674b268512f7 · inbound
A game theory for foundation models shows new paths to rational cooperation through similarity inference cites this paper.
A game theory for foundation models shows new paths to rational cooperation through similarity inference A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems
Reference 57
- Resolution
- verified exact
- local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-05T05:04:49.111753Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 6605b315-9c80-4c7a-bc62-b9e5b3213471 · inbound
Do LLMs Take Care of Their Own? Similarity Signals Can Induce Cooperation cites this paper.
Do LLMs Take Care of Their Own? Similarity Signals Can Induce Cooperation A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems
Reference 53
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-16T00:19:16.973228Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.