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arxiv: 1505.04459 · v2 · pith:TFS7AF6Znew · submitted 2015-05-17 · 🧮 math.PR · q-fin.MF

Small-time expansions for state-dependent local jump-diffusion models with infinite jump activity

classification 🧮 math.PR q-fin.MF
keywords jumpexpansionprobabilityactivityinfinitejump-diffusionmeasureorder
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In this article, we consider a Markov process X, starting from x and solving a stochastic differential equation, which is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent pure jump component exhibiting state-dependent jump intensity and infinite jump activity. A second order expansion is derived for the tail probability P[X(t)>x+y] in small time t, for y>0. As an application of this expansion and a suitable change of the underlying probability measure, a second order expansion, near expiration, for out-of-the-money European call option prices is obtained when the underlying stock price is modeled as the exponential of the jump-diffusion process X under the risk-neutral probability measure.

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