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Debiased Machine Learning of Aggregated Intersection Bounds and Other Causal Parameters

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arxiv 2303.00982 v3 pith:UFYF6DHL submitted 2023-03-02 econ.EM

classification econ.EM
keywords boundsaggregatedcovariateestimatorfunctionsintersectionoracleproposed
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This paper proposes a novel framework of aggregated intersection of regression functions, where the target parameter is obtained by averaging the minimum (or maximum) of a collection of regression functions over the covariate space. Such quantities include the lower and upper bounds on distributional effects (Frechet-Hoeffding, Makarov) and the optimal welfare in the statistical treatment choice problem. The proposed estimator -- the envelope score estimator -- is shown to have an oracle property, where the oracle knows the identity of the minimizer for each covariate value. I apply this result to the bounds in the Roy model and the Horowitz-Manski-Lee bounds with a discrete outcome. The proposed approach performs well empirically on the data from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment.

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  1. Partial identification via conditional linear programs: estimation and policy learning

    stat.ME 2025-06 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Two debiased estimators, one based on linear programming solutions and one on entropic smoothing, provide asymptotic confidence intervals for covariate-dependent partial identification bounds and support policy learning.

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