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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting

As of 9 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 15 of 15 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2509.23074.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2509.23074 v3

Coverage vector

measured 15 of 15 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:46.123455Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-02T06:16:39.177755Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

15 of 15 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact4
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved11
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation d5017008-ac8a-44cf-bd4d-50a6cb85d8ea · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1609/aaai.v37i9.26317.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1609/aaai.v37i9.26317

Reference 11

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.809269Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.809269Z digest=sha256:bc1550bc8662921c0c741d09e0b343e79eca5ca5d721d8ae57ecbd61168424d5

Observation 5d310934-f7c8-49e6-83b3-dbf68a362ac6 · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1109/TKDE.2019.2955686.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1109/TKDE.2019.2955686

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.870719Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.870719Z digest=sha256:07e59aa287bbca0c052f02a627f0fe3af9ccd149ff5b90d4ce239bff057056e1

Observation 6256fe1c-f63d-4ff6-9745-c997fe64f556 · outbound

This paper cites drop-last.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting drop-last

Reference 128

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:46.047734Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:46.047734Z digest=sha256:84e921acaa658cdcff1d6a18f82296eb27dd5bc493e1042a21c757e95782b76c

Observation 333e5ad1-5b1f-42f8-9dbe-af0b1043068b · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb01338.x.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb01338.x

Reference 1948

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.510229Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.510229Z digest=sha256:442ca6468da6453c3c471f7562997eba76e91fcbd50eadb39042745c5fa22277

Observation 662e6eb4-3d42-49ad-9f7a-9633113a2643 · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1109/TIT.1977.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1109/TIT.1977

Reference 1977

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:58.614750Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.958515Z digest=sha256:121778fad44b2490374c369548551796c60a082b3054f0a183965b65fc81bba8

Observation 9d11d494-bd22-4691-bcab-2d5118f6290c · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1152/ajpheart.2000.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1152/ajpheart.2000

Reference 2000

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:58.994745Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.388974Z digest=sha256:825b5a97003ec07e65d0dc046a28a7fa619e2bd045863f126f882a24dc287126

Observation cd79968b-acca-457a-a307-1996dad4d41f · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.88.174102.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.88.174102

Reference 2002

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:44.725035Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.725035Z digest=sha256:4a30c505b70e1468468b3c43fa66d517945e1e8d400d5fe8044deea098de9fea

Observation e7373bf7-bd54-4bd8-85ba-f0e12c5d1e60 · outbound

This paper cites Huandong Wang, Sihan Zeng, Yong Li, and Depeng Jin.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting Huandong Wang, Sihan Zeng, Yong Li, and Depeng Jin

Reference 2010

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.629300Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.629300Z digest=sha256:a8ae2c73011ba316e94eeb901c8d8c3520385795008861983caf10d0fa1f5447

Observation 254b2fef-9974-4bf4-863c-cc77f23a0c7b · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.90.052910.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.90.052910

Reference 2014

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:44.792429Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.792429Z digest=sha256:c4a405d8da376838450b12cfb909cdf0187f1dd2f219179848cb1e7a90b1a528

Observation fe880cac-1ec5-4bf1-a1b8-778a69fb9886 · outbound

This paper cites h” denotes hourly data and “m.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting h” denotes hourly data and “m

Reference 2018

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:46.123455Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:46.123455Z digest=sha256:e2fea76456e12e5f75b94dc5f831b9aeaf40eaf5a835bce782ed49975f7d01d8

Observation 6cf12d4d-1ea7-4783-a461-7adc1b039b4e · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1002/ecm.1359.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1002/ecm.1359

Reference 2019

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:59.247634Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.250177Z digest=sha256:c75e102343b38a242939bc698e3e7870bd864e9fcf340563f6ae00814bf3c057

Observation 4155de24-f359-442e-bac2-398526c5d66c · outbound

This paper cites doi: 10.1109/TMC.2020.2981441.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting doi: 10.1109/TMC.2020.2981441

Reference 2021

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.753544Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.753544Z digest=sha256:c94ee4863a15f5cc1ab232961244d16da335b612a30a37ece7bfc382ae5429b6

Observation 0cc90491-b16c-490f-9803-1b744336dee2 · outbound

This paper cites A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers

Reference 2023

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:45.079169Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:45.079169Z digest=sha256:30b0bde4d7be835b2dfb7873c3de40cc4e350c4cf19a813d65f8d4a5b07e90ea

Observation 07e957fe-7d06-49be-bd86-3e80261cb6d2 · outbound

This paper cites ISBN 979-8-4007-0490-1.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting ISBN 979-8-4007-0490-1

Reference 2024

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T14:53:44.999608Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.999608Z digest=sha256:7bda151a17980ee8b58efc361bd3d889d5230bb0677f76f89c7ee3aa79563b4b

Observation d94e5d04-f2c1-4395-8204-ec4e02ea8c11 · outbound

This paper cites Ioannis Kontoyiannis, Paul H.

Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting Ioannis Kontoyiannis, Paul H

Reference 7527

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-04T14:58:59.690810Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-09T06:31:02.800959+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-04T14:53:44.882007Z digest=sha256:3d3fa6b71debb506fd6059a177354a6f0083c764ceaec8acd216049c67fc0187

Pith citing papers

Observation ca89de7a-8720-4df5-8e8d-3708d82babcb · inbound

The Spectrum Is Not Enough: When Context Helps Time-Series Forecasting cites this paper.

The Spectrum Is Not Enough: When Context Helps Time-Series Forecasting Beyond Model Ranking: Predictability-Aligned Evaluation for Time Series Forecasting

Reference 11

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T06:16:39.177755Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-02T06:16:39.177755Z digest=sha256:53bc788d48f3ddf5af4e52cf791657e85cad6e8d67389d5793f5622fbebf4c33