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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning

As of 22 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 64 of 64 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2412.02081.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2412.02081 v1

Coverage vector

measured 64 of 64 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:15.937356Z

measured 65 of 65 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T16:50:50.286555Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: pith, observed 2026-08-06T16:50:51.390281Z

Reference resolution

64 of 64 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy19
  • unresolved44
  • parse uncertain1
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation f945565d-fa9a-43aa-9053-f6ca69b997b9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.616199Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.639457Z digest=sha256:fc4d53c914f0bcbaaeffdda6e41962ca990f57c1185e4ebfad0d59d7412c0a30

Observation 3afbad92-6e68-4588-9aae-2f98d4902936 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 2

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.606036Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.643458Z digest=sha256:628a31aa174dabdb00fbca6a9d4f7734a737801ad8d6543b93d4cea992684e71

Observation 9528b35b-b88d-4a97-984f-6dd2c25122d1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.595890Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.647279Z digest=sha256:edb2c361763aa69fccffdf8106d1dc198bbbf8669d6f999d38f11ad92ae181d0

Observation de981016-5d35-4a51-b3b8-b2a9aaa1a61f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.586038Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.651392Z digest=sha256:d97522fbe34117b6199be26a391e1a2ce1368d72a1f086154e5b17d5e00d2cc3

Observation c8af4218-5812-494d-ae23-870cb0435275 · outbound

This paper cites ### Additional Variables:.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning ### Additional Variables:

Reference 5

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.575925Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.655046Z digest=sha256:a98eb582140ce6a6215ef0bbc1381bcb29ecac4febaa128f53d1befd0f329ab1

Observation 490e4eb0-69bb-4a91-b5e2-51cef3d9bacf · outbound

This paper cites ### DOMAIN 15 Preprint.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning ### DOMAIN 15 Preprint

Reference 6

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.496622Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.683406Z digest=sha256:8ddbdc78a8217d191ac1b41caeb9e5127f44ed25e370ffddff302bbf32debd75

Observation 99bbbd8e-9624-438e-b7e8-4b58429fd2d8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.566163Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.658665Z digest=sha256:e9dfc76e45b393b7daa5fbf411a77906e876e2ee66a32e38027ec8ce7ed6ba4c

Observation 7af721a2-f14b-4227-b737-9af33fe3c7b8 · outbound

This paper cites ### Deciding on the Outcomes Space To make the model more reusable and provide more robust estimations, I will include other categories for the rating.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning ### Deciding on the Outcomes Space To make the model more reusable and provide more robust estimations, I will include other categories for the rating

Reference 8

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.556098Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.662388Z digest=sha256:345ee0c3f6a141f3a1200e1143c41894bc29abe52b230569d07e68b269470e5c

Observation 0a7a87bf-4b80-4bba-8091-57d9c038e60e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.545590Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.666417Z digest=sha256:009075b8da9633b911efaec6e475e61d1d5ffe55f9a39b4af5026153b50fe32f

Observation 470afd1b-1a71-4945-ad30-d9175339682a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.535786Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.669665Z digest=sha256:2d153f6cadc57d99357208c6b53224bfcfd67cd0151d722209ebf7f5d603905e

Observation 28f51d11-4ec4-456f-910d-f359d193269d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.525919Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.672961Z digest=sha256:eb6f9862bc00f4a66ba36702b64b250a55a5ac6df6753bb026abd82ed37618ab

Observation 422503b1-65d6-43ab-b624-7738683e4561 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.516316Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.676583Z digest=sha256:f676c91fe084f4f2b57d6ea4352bcd6fa61eeeb76089a0c98fb8b55e05c68729

Observation 7266cc0b-70af-48e1-bfd8-235f1a64d631 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.506686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.680044Z digest=sha256:c51b734ca82f726d240e4883ca8107ac8b8f55d357dd57e47130691ef83e45c1

Observation 2ebc9219-4932-4fd4-af14-e76655ce7d9b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 15

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.487088Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.686797Z digest=sha256:80629b4abfe869e21a6b7cadff3e92559366bf081fc0bc8268e2e619766318a4

Observation 2c79e95a-6c73-40e9-85ee-6eb8404ee0f5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.477322Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.690001Z digest=sha256:7a2768b3c2498944c95abce4af52549bb27f71ca5fc3f48cef22d1203acb6b68

Observation a4ba5312-0951-41cc-9f9c-f141ead9b401 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.467492Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.693325Z digest=sha256:6dd88c0e245aa092ecf6edc8d263d6b4ce4eab9ee58d81be2e9e0b06204b1a74

Observation 201ae5e3-abd1-4040-ba1e-42162af7d9d2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.457861Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.696987Z digest=sha256:47b69220309bb01c6fad1e34374a91a7bace4997c23234207ac56b5049eb5901

Observation 982fc507-3f36-4d90-a9cd-1e79f41bad3d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.448178Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.700264Z digest=sha256:5889b625e1a38a27377509d55cce0d94cef8e1845454ba491f42d749a35f395e

Observation f9ac6246-3a9a-46ef-bef9-42b965fd0eae · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.438631Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.703606Z digest=sha256:f1b088ae18e757c4659d3a1b4d75c58a3a071c8f2477251876f1f2e0312587ed

Observation 534ac74a-ac71-40a4-b60d-9f9c90f06c36 · outbound

This paper cites #### Additional Variables: 16 Preprint.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning #### Additional Variables: 16 Preprint

Reference 25

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.387051Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.721495Z digest=sha256:bae06401195c732c922f9ed408658b8ca037a778b3280e827878aa4d10e7569f

Observation e1e4a89c-3c41-4f04-839c-f05574d3d31e · outbound

This paper cites Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500

Reference 33

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.307132Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.748748Z digest=sha256:07af9b2cbc7528e8280165625cad408381c10a502573985dee6df5ef19023333

Observation d0882168-0d8f-4524-9784-dcd8c6da7035 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 37

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.267703Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.762049Z digest=sha256:c76b477bca8c923efadd3749df9d2bc432743ff14bbde048b6cfb2dc846c4b01

Observation 42c28fd5-64c5-4fec-bdb0-64599dff3854 · outbound

This paper cites Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500

Reference 39

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.247198Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.768740Z digest=sha256:f11bf2ec3d70e2da65e16d4297851e2a06040eebd1f3fd41a06c05578a7bad65

Observation fe7cdfec-9680-42b8-b166-6e670d565486 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 40

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.429164Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.772084Z digest=sha256:1b0a3fb5850802752d475118c6412ff1e94f8f5a1fa9cf0e9035fcb8240eef4a

Observation 2a3498cb-2a1a-4dce-9fb1-c302f55b5f72 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 41

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.419366Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.775307Z digest=sha256:afcae31d8980fc8c8738703922e4ce82e621ee45896b6001c0488e046716e4b4

Observation 3fe7f54d-d77c-4ab5-85e8-0914750b232f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 42

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.409260Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.778183Z digest=sha256:8446a4729b19f386d7e7db9a185b146c324cc8fc6cf13cb58dff4b8e5378861c

Observation e19c5cd9-989b-4131-bc75-26b9fc228cc7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 43

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.398200Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.781224Z digest=sha256:db33bb426bf2cec2683c1022c12d823e145faa3f94279689580efa140eb0f23f

Observation 8b83e8d5-0b9d-4374-9a09-41aa0ecd7475 · outbound

This paper cites #### Additional Variables:.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning #### Additional Variables:

Reference 44

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.236942Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.784096Z digest=sha256:5aaa022b00627cf709980fb4ff5296acd08d3bd76795a95e2ad70eb6523f209f

Observation ca126f3f-4519-4cde-97dd-ce9720bb97df · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 45

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.376808Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.787537Z digest=sha256:af25e1b19e0eec5c72fcf298b99d2efcd70c55606ba015ed5e4d8cc60074c57b

Observation 59763ed5-68e4-4c85-9a59-aff98871a7e5 · outbound

This paper cites ### Deciding on the Outcomes Space To make the model more reusable, I will include additional categories for the property type.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning ### Deciding on the Outcomes Space To make the model more reusable, I will include additional categories for the property type

Reference 46

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.366845Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.790425Z digest=sha256:7c8980eb2106c0e832e6077dec693d44883ce855e170ad86fd0c4315744d12c6

Observation eeba8f5a-5552-4715-8b1f-ce4946318d11 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 47

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.356790Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.793359Z digest=sha256:64a2474573060ba45acc3523ccc945890621f872b1d14ba31fe641def14ee915

Observation a7464d51-6ee7-4a0f-aecc-f68ad664b6ff · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 48

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.346897Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.796287Z digest=sha256:ccea1909b9a39726702641b4c0d7e1ce3b23cf4e99fb1c8660f8b1cacf090765

Observation 14bd6bad-47af-415c-8ea7-febb6e67718f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 49

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.336497Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.799272Z digest=sha256:36422c956b12605cce3b652b575679304bbc7e98763025ff2288ef9fda0d32d1

Observation 6244dda2-f845-4ec1-85d3-ce4bb94737e2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 50

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.326916Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.802264Z digest=sha256:2e9270b83b8b88fac9cd354b652a3f7a2e1445dedc79c6af5c34057e8e6045e8

Observation 3a9699df-029e-4c2b-943a-0815a8a9bd34 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 51

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.317254Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.805412Z digest=sha256:c139c2bce372178f28e0988a84e2c01fbe56ce4ef4988e3d8f2a53d09821d09f

Observation f487c3d1-cff1-4dd5-b624-789082f0d0fa · outbound

This paper cites Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500

Reference 52

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.226755Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.808344Z digest=sha256:461221fa50061e9561d60799b6edeaf4b215856f1b8e1edfc805e7a70b2da505

Observation 297a933b-3cf3-4ed0-b15a-adc923650b16 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 53

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.297197Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.811984Z digest=sha256:1db29b130668873d2e1e0af274a644171aecfcaa34ab4420d2d4e6163502a98d

Observation d7011565-0375-4a83-8db5-c05d8d463d8d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 54

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.287215Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.815469Z digest=sha256:0e3aab27b49abb4805d8781b0bde980b8499e73c27d8a29509603bf31192e2f4

Observation d7fb4f3a-9b0d-4e67-807d-1e264b3822c6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 55

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.277463Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.818490Z digest=sha256:863627a5229c734701a6c57a4d44bb21ce532ce614516477a6b69fff2f337a1a

Observation 3a4a675b-fbae-44a3-9f88-2ae1a86971e7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 56

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.216454Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.821546Z digest=sha256:6c04c18957b56535f51c6e53fd6e59b8585c60cfadbad00ae84acad12a77a1db

Observation f4e470ab-d96e-46dd-9dc9-0b39f8a97416 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 57

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.257707Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.824901Z digest=sha256:0add694f19e57855e48d98c3a2908432cfdc10a4b73fe40297f97ca7f9e857c1

Observation 78b820cf-504e-4086-ae7b-bf124ae161fc · outbound

This paper cites Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Airbnb listings in Austin, TX in 2023 with a price between $201 and $500

Reference 58

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.206268Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.827924Z digest=sha256:53fda58d1a7ac0472dac0bdafd6398546f834da233eb33a8c9e2dfd4d6eacf0f

Observation fa1f3e9b-3aa9-4feb-905a-67be6fc25f27 · outbound

This paper cites For instance, entire homes or apartments may be priced higher than shared or hotel rooms.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning For instance, entire homes or apartments may be priced higher than shared or hotel rooms

Reference 60

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.185669Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.835013Z digest=sha256:0319a73d168692683da99b15d95d5fe9f2e3ad7a1c2d12f36f710f7d621856f7

Observation b0bfcdb5-b04f-4095-9ad0-a9f5883cbb68 · outbound

This paper cites - Answer: Yes, properties that accommodate more people may also be priced differently, often higher.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning - Answer: Yes, properties that accommodate more people may also be priced differently, often higher

Reference 62

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.165002Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.841900Z digest=sha256:6f790399d75f105614c0bf4bfd2a773503760a472739eeab4d400cf91d83d061

Observation e2a7388e-e8f6-4544-864d-7f9f04307545 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 73

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.051257Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.879562Z digest=sha256:1f2917704575c0980028c082fa28058d4e1d70f43e4c218c8536033386242855

Observation eb58abe0-13e4-415e-bb92-d674122d3d7c · outbound

This paper cites For example, an entire home or apartment typically accommodates more people than a shared or hotel room.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning For example, an entire home or apartment typically accommodates more people than a shared or hotel room

Reference 74

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.195845Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.882873Z digest=sha256:b5faf2489b85092c11b032269fdcfb3995a9d964c0b36a0f073ea937d5ca6124

Observation 2aae84b6-ea00-45ce-8cb0-a966c8c14e13 · outbound

This paper cites For instance, entire homes or apartments may be priced higher than shared or hotel rooms.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning For instance, entire homes or apartments may be priced higher than shared or hotel rooms

Reference 75

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.039545Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.885999Z digest=sha256:c6f8a847cb34c62c84146fb1e622321b246423589071493d470c262ea3cd9f8b

Observation 8c050ae9-fe3c-45cd-80ae-656fa4f5bcea · outbound

This paper cites For example, a house is more likely to be listed as an entire home or apartment compared to a condo.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning For example, a house is more likely to be listed as an entire home or apartment compared to a condo

Reference 76

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.175401Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.889352Z digest=sha256:88b12d524b92e8cadb48ef69520662c2e294d826fc6f2b951cc98e1e49c94d8d

Observation 8eb41b8e-c34c-496c-b8cc-6c2b135ad617 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 77

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.027769Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.892765Z digest=sha256:38a353949c1916e511f606c95f35fbe1d7b0739fecf5d2bdb4232ae8cb6e5cda

Observation 45c0b40c-392f-4dde-834e-3b36a448d123 · outbound

This paper cites For example, a townhouse may accommodate more people than a condo.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning For example, a townhouse may accommodate more people than a condo

Reference 78

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.154360Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.896111Z digest=sha256:55bc5c1a60d40f39807c62e99652e7975a529a71e1129237714a108607d63001

Observation ceb7c9b2-7073-4370-8cf4-6d58aeacede9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 79

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.143669Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.899084Z digest=sha256:75f9ca63721e66b1de88a4f6e2d4dc69d89c7edf265d64cee21d967028c1357a

Observation 9a9e67f0-2b62-4743-800a-398de6eaa084 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 80

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.133709Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.902216Z digest=sha256:16806ed2dd389250d5c3bf2d17df28022c5fcf077901cfee9bbbd005140541da

Observation 69176989-e446-4b11-bac6-67d9730e9032 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 81

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.122920Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.905348Z digest=sha256:c62174d61dfd0019ab55a4d2350087e70e194fb012266fe8db8ee57806a950ed

Observation dfaed538-3c40-49b3-8d74-b224b052eae3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 82

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.112797Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.908312Z digest=sha256:4487dca66666a0113514ce32c30f9fd3af47fa844d0e19e98dfb5d8a7b9694e7

Observation 924b4dd2-a8a7-4388-a918-c546fa31cda6 · outbound

This paper cites ### List of Factors.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning ### List of Factors

Reference 83

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.102986Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.911469Z digest=sha256:d1c5c83228a277d2f0c63bb816470fd8c69ca4f1c47f5c9aecf2de881ade6235

Observation 683fc9a1-cac1-48ad-930e-34a1a7eb6367 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 84

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.092961Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.914644Z digest=sha256:72d5fc70d1d713413fb6ae9c3066ae27b2f57fe284f09a85b78a1559125c4a46

Observation eb033481-d452-4614-b2dc-80a47b0f3b26 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 85

Resolution
parse uncertain
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.082166Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.917894Z digest=sha256:64bda98ee4b44158ae195dcef63c2cc0a420b60c6cead9946330d06ed5cc24bc

Observation c98da2b6-c192-478f-b76f-6a9a07f1bfad · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 86

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.071963Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.921015Z digest=sha256:cb4ed24bd7433fbdbd618b8464c2502537a7b309a0129c856e4488ba645b7ce9

Observation c6229809-94d0-441e-a76e-0b4e94cb2ffa · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 87

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.061579Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.924057Z digest=sha256:41779e1d7b7cc06ebd9cecc134b2cc169bbde6ffffc8ca70b8065d54cd38f3c1

Observation d7bea6cc-f92c-40f3-891d-99b524921527 · outbound

This paper cites Features.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Features

Reference 88

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.016618Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.927097Z digest=sha256:16cb744c0dd07e1cadf05a9e4933c1552e2b045742cd86a787febfc3e7a679a1

Observation 34022f84-82e8-4c8b-9f50-0c65d2374108 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 89

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:16.004024Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.930738Z digest=sha256:bff6e72eae75058a52ccdf817f744197a43e9fb7c91d667b0fd820e159f35d87

Observation 76e2800c-2ef3-4b7d-b5ca-4e2e55f33e84 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Unresolved cited work

Reference 90

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:15.993022Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.934001Z digest=sha256:35fd18ec122a283605f7733e23cf249288dcb7b02a182c7d0ebe2541f61fa632

Observation 96e60a30-5dfe-4918-924d-739ec31e73fa · outbound

This paper cites B.2 P REPROCESSING For each dataset, we use a subset of all available columns.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning B.2 P REPROCESSING For each dataset, we use a subset of all available columns

Reference 91

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:15.981473Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.937356Z digest=sha256:7d15617dd6dbc33066431777b6e796aa921fcbb11de0ea35bcf47568af939ca0

Observation 323d11a2-1279-4e3d-ba0d-411be7d6f82c · outbound

This paper cites Incoherent Probability Judgments in Large Language Models.

Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning Incoherent Probability Judgments in Large Language Models

Reference 2024

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-11T23:54:15.634583Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-11T23:54:15.634583Z digest=sha256:9752438e18ff8e898f8c8f3d82b18ac3be76317c0e93d1e485e4ad4f10916df7

Pith citing papers

Observation f0b25d6a-c544-43ad-86bb-f6a2ce4fc35d · inbound

Modeling Open-World Cognition as On-Demand Synthesis of Probabilistic Models cites this paper.

Modeling Open-World Cognition as On-Demand Synthesis of Probabilistic Models Let's Think Var-by-Var: Large Language Models Enable Ad Hoc Probabilistic Reasoning

Reference 59

Resolution
verified exact
local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T16:50:51.519645Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T16:50:50.286555Z digest=sha256:77131549c988a6d3f22cd305c7f0540d24ec8f3c142de68273607e0a417e723a