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arxiv: 1207.6504 · v1 · pith:X5KEBUGBnew · submitted 2012-07-27 · 📊 stat.AP · physics.soc-ph

Space-time correlations in urban population flows

classification 📊 stat.AP physics.soc-ph
keywords modelcitiescorrelationstimeallowsapplicabilitycharacteristiccity-growth
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Evidences are presented concerning tantalizing regularities in cities' population-flows in what regards to space and time correlations. The former exhibit a distance-behavior (for large distances) compatible with the inverse square law, following an overall Lorentzian dependence with an scale-parameter of $74\pm6$ km. The later decay exponentially with a characteristic time of $17.2\pm1.3$ years. These features can be explained by a dynamical model for cities' population-growth of a Lagevinian nature. Numerical simulations based on the model confirm its applicability. The model also allows for the identification of collective normal modes of city-growth dynamics that can be empirically identified.

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