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arxiv: 1901.06568 · v1 · pith:YLODZD52new · submitted 2019-01-19 · 🧮 math.PR

SIR epidemics on evolving graphs

classification 🧮 math.PR
keywords epidemiclargedelsirevosirfinalgraphslambdamodel
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We consider evoSIR, a variant of the SIR model, on Erd\H os-Renyi random graphs in which susceptibles with an infected neighbor break that connection at rate $\rho$ and rewire to a randomly chosen individual. We compute the critical infection rate $\lambda_c$ and the probability of a large epidemic by showing that they are the same for the delSIR model in which $S-I$ connections are deleted instead of rewired. The final size of a large delSIR epidemic has a continuous transition. Simulations suggest that the final size of a large evoSIR epidemic is discontinuous at $\lambda_c$.

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