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arxiv: 1307.6695 · v2 · pith:ZJOI3WTKnew · submitted 2013-07-25 · 💱 q-fin.RM · physics.soc-ph· stat.ME

Where Do Thin Tails Come From?

classification 💱 q-fin.RM physics.soc-phstat.ME
keywords tailsrandomresponsethin-tailsvariablewhenaggregationargue
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The literature of heavy tails (typically) starts with a random walk and finds mechanisms that lead to fat tails under aggregation. We follow the inverse route and show how starting with fat tails we get to thin-tails when deriving the probability distribution of the response to a random variable. We introduce a general dose-response curve and argue that the left and right-boundedness or saturation of the response in natural things leads to thin-tails, even when the "underlying" random variable at the source of the exposure is fat-tailed.

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