Runaway migration and the formation of hot Jupiters

[Abridged] We evaluate the coorbital corotation torque on a migrating protoplanet. The coorbital torque is assumed to come from orbit crossing fluid elements which exchange angular momentum with the planet when they execute a U-turn at the end of horseshoe streamlines. When the planet migrates inward, the fluid elements of the inner disk undergo one such exchange as they pass to the outer disk. The angular momentum they gain is removed from the planet, and this corresponds to a negative contribution to the corotation torque, which scales with the drift rate. In addition, the material trapped in the coorbital region drifts radially with the planet giving a positive contribution to the corotation torque, which also scales with the drift rate. These two contributions do not cancel out if the coorbital region is depleted, in which case there is a net corotation torque which scales with the drift rate and the mass deficit in the coorbital region, and which has same sign as the drift rate. This leads to a positive feedback on the migrating planet. In particular, if the coorbital mass deficit is larger than the planet mass, the migration rate undergoes a runaway which can vary the protoplanet semi-major axis by 50% over a few tens of orbits. This can happen only if the planet mass is sufficient to create a dip or gap in its surrounding region, and if the surrounding disk mass is larger than the planet mass. This typically corresponds to planet masses in the sub-Saturnian to Jovian mass range embedded in massive protoplanetary disks. Runaway migration is a good candidate to account for the orbital characteristics of close orbiting giant planets, most of which have sub-Jovian masses. Further, we show that in the runaway regime, migration can be directed outwards.