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arxiv: hep-ex/0007048 · v2 · submitted 2000-07-24 · ✦ hep-ex

Setting Confidence Belts

classification ✦ hep-ex
keywords beltsfrequentistcrediblebackgroundbayesbayesianconditionalconfidence
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We propose using a Bayes procedure with uniform improper prior to determine credible belts for the mean of a Poisson distribution in the presence of background and for the continuous problem of measuring a non-negative quantity $\theta$ with a normally distributed measurement error. Within the Bayesian framework, these belts are optimal. The credible limits are then examined from a frequentist point of view and found to have good frequentist and conditional frequentist properties.

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