pith:3DFFD73L
PhysioSeq2Seq: A Hybrid Physiological Digital Twin and Sequence-to-Sequence LSTM for Long-Horizon Glucose Forecasting in Type 1 Diabetes
PhysioSeq2Seq reduces long-horizon glucose forecast bias by injecting patient-matched physiological states into a sequence-to-sequence LSTM.
arxiv:2605.16860 v1 · 2026-05-16 · cs.LG · cs.AI · q-bio.QM
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Claims
At the 240-minute horizon, PhysioSeq2Seq achieves a mean absolute error of 39.28 mg/dL and a mean error of -10.62 mg/dL, reducing bias by 13.89 mg/dL over the recursive LSTM and reducing mean absolute error by 28.62 mg/dL over the ODE-based digital twin.
That selecting one of 300 pre-parameterized digital twins solely from a 3-hour CGM segment supplies internal ODE states accurate enough to constrain the LSTM's long-horizon output without introducing new systematic errors or selection bias.
Hybrid digital-twin matching plus Seq2Seq LSTM reduces 240-minute glucose forecast bias by 13.89 mg/dL and MAE by 28.62 mg/dL versus baselines on held-out T1DEXI data.
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| First computed | 2026-05-20T00:03:26.769148Z |
|---|---|
| Builder | pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1 |
| Signature | Pith Ed25519
(pith-v1-2026-05) · public key |
| Schema | pith-number/v1.0 |
Canonical hash
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curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/3DFFD73LNAG5VH23IBXOK56MAA \
| jq -c '.canonical_record' \
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Canonical record JSON
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