Pith Number

pith:3HB6ZO5C

pith:2026:3HB6ZO5CPDOZGEQ54X7R3AVZ3T

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Robust Aggregation of Calibrated Forecasts

Xinxiang Guo, Yifen Mu, Yingkai Li

arxiv:2606.31020 v1 · 2026-06-30 · econ.TH · cs.GT

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{3HB6ZO5CPDOZGEQ54X7R3AVZ3T}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-01T01:17:26.483327Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

d9c3ecbba278dd93121de5ff1d82b9dcc4406af72761cf693dbfb2919cb2a979

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.31020 · arxiv_version: 2606.31020v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.31020 · pith_short_12: 3HB6ZO5CPDOZ · pith_short_16: 3HB6ZO5CPDOZGEQ5 · pith_short_8: 3HB6ZO5C

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/3HB6ZO5CPDOZGEQ54X7R3AVZ3T \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: d9c3ecbba278dd93121de5ff1d82b9dcc4406af72761cf693dbfb2919cb2a979

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "8b536f817e61988d4698c1afd69f9011f260b8cff03e90c032770d1543e652de",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.GT"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "econ.TH",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-30T01:32:25Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "dfa499ec6f9709ecea441540bf6cc1bd9dea2d53764ddc264124f0663f4f1a87"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.31020",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}