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pith:2026:3HX7Q54SCJUVYHKY6VESK3CYVK
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McCast: Memory-Guided Latent Drift Correction for Long-Horizon Precipitation Nowcasting

Lintao Wang, Mengwei He, Patrick Filippi, Penghui Wen, Thomas Francis Bishop, Yu Luo, Zhiyong Wang

McCast corrects latent drift in autoregressive precipitation models using a memory bank to produce coherent long-horizon forecasts.

arxiv:2605.13197 v1 · 2026-05-13 · cs.LG · cs.AI

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Claims

C1strongest claim

By explicitly correcting latent evolution, instead of improving step-wise prediction accuracy only, McCast produces more temporally coherent and reliable long-horizon forecasts.

C2weakest assumption

That a temporally organized memory bank can reliably estimate and apply drift corrections to latent states without introducing new inconsistencies or requiring domain-specific tuning that is not captured in the abstract description.

C3one line summary

McCast uses a Drift-Corrective Memory Bank to actively correct latent drift in autoregressive precipitation nowcasting for more coherent long-horizon forecasts.

References

37 extracted · 37 resolved · 1 Pith anchors

[1] Skilful pre- cipitation nowcasting using deep generative models of radar.Nature, 597(7878):672–677, 2021 2021
[2] Skilful nowcasting of extreme precipitation with nowcastnet.Nature, 619 (7970):526–532, 2023 2023
[3] Diffcast: A unified framework via residual diffusion for precipitation nowcasting 2024
[4] AlphaPre: Amplitude-phase disentanglement model for precipitation nowcasting 2025
[5] CasCast: Skillful high-resolution precipitation nowcasting via cascaded modelling 2024

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1 paper in Pith

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First computed 2026-05-18T03:08:48.710655Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

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d9eff8779212695c1d58f549256c58aa8a9fa506aea241d13c1fccce9976bea8

Aliases

arxiv: 2605.13197 · arxiv_version: 2605.13197v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2605.13197 · pith_short_12: 3HX7Q54SCJUV · pith_short_16: 3HX7Q54SCJUVYHKY · pith_short_8: 3HX7Q54S
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curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/3HX7Q54SCJUVYHKY6VESK3CYVK \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: d9eff8779212695c1d58f549256c58aa8a9fa506aea241d13c1fccce9976bea8
Canonical record JSON
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