Pith Number

pith:44KLYU3L

pith:2024:44KLYU3LGY2CQTIMDZ25732G6V

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

On the optimal prediction of extreme events in heavy-tailed time series with applications to solar flare forecasting

Stilian Stoev, Victor Verma, Yang Chen

arxiv:2407.11887 v2 · 2024-07-16 · math.ST · stat.AP · stat.ME · stat.TH

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Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{44KLYU3LGY2CQTIMDZ25732G6V}

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Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

On the optimal prediction of extreme events

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T10:01:56.019296Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

e714bc536b3634284d0c1e75dfef46f54060d2c9b795024e5ee45a8ff1f00578

Aliases

arxiv: 2407.11887 · arxiv_version: 2407.11887v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2407.11887 · pith_short_12: 44KLYU3LGY2C · pith_short_16: 44KLYU3LGY2CQTIM · pith_short_8: 44KLYU3L

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/44KLYU3LGY2CQTIMDZ25732G6V \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: e714bc536b3634284d0c1e75dfef46f54060d2c9b795024e5ee45a8ff1f00578

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "8b01b56d3411f7a6bc40323abe1258e64bb185ed30ba92fad639e2f4af19adee",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "stat.AP",
      "stat.ME",
      "stat.TH"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "math.ST",
    "submitted_at": "2024-07-16T16:15:42Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "3a30664a464edcd63e74e917952412d8d0aec6ce9b883ea7dffb4b08a055d101"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2407.11887",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}