Pith Number

pith:5APVIRP6

pith:2015:5APVIRP6AQH3M37WNFG64W7UWL

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Forecaster's Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation

Francesco Ravazzolo, Sebastian Lerch, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting

arxiv:1512.09244 v1 · 2015-12-31 · stat.ME

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{5APVIRP6AQH3M37WNFG64W7UWL}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-05-18T01:23:32.901192Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

e81f5445fe040fb66ff6694dee5bf4b2e02697105cfcb500d119302ad2033713

Aliases

arxiv: 1512.09244 · arxiv_version: 1512.09244v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.1512.09244 · pith_short_12: 5APVIRP6AQH3 · pith_short_16: 5APVIRP6AQH3M37W · pith_short_8: 5APVIRP6

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/5APVIRP6AQH3M37WNFG64W7UWL \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: e81f5445fe040fb66ff6694dee5bf4b2e02697105cfcb500d119302ad2033713

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "f765e53df7b75fa9797d940d8dbba5393904203797b9918cf8c33cf02cc9a5bf",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "stat.ME",
    "submitted_at": "2015-12-31T09:27:14Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "40becd9f9901545dc4c37efa6b8f533c553c72c4ea49093531d65cd7b6f29329"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "1512.09244",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}