Pith Number

pith:6L5ZGVIQ

pith:2026:6L5ZGVIQQHQBPIDLDDDQH35QOQ

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Report the Floor: A Training-Free Conformal Interval Is a Mandatory Baseline for Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

Valery Manokhin

arxiv:2606.09473 v1 · 2026-06-08 · stat.ML · cs.LG

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{6L5ZGVIQQHQBPIDLDDDQH35QOQ}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-06-09T02:08:50.458487Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

f2fb93551081e017a06b18c703efb07404ab2b338baa62d6a5efcf91e5934633

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.09473 · arxiv_version: 2606.09473v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.09473 · pith_short_12: 6L5ZGVIQQHQB · pith_short_16: 6L5ZGVIQQHQBPIDL · pith_short_8: 6L5ZGVIQ

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/6L5ZGVIQQHQBPIDLDDDQH35QOQ \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: f2fb93551081e017a06b18c703efb07404ab2b338baa62d6a5efcf91e5934633

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "363f6233144e5ee44b16999771c1dd3a159ec80839ba21e8c08a109d412503c2",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.LG"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "stat.ML",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-08T13:30:18Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "8aba63bad259b6e9438c2e262d5618a1174af6d567cd7293b41d6a7ce63bd759"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.09473",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}