pith. sign in
Pith Number

pith:6R4WBCNG

pith:2016:6R4WBCNG53J3FELVUVFBBGQTDH
not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Bayesian Posteriors For Arbitrarily Rare Events

Drew Fudenberg, Kevin He, Lorens Imhof

arxiv:1608.05002 v4 · 2016-08-17 · math.ST · q-fin.EC · stat.TH

Add to your LaTeX paper
\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{6R4WBCNG53J3FELVUVFBBGQTDH}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp
2 Internet Archive
3 Author claim open · sign in to claim
4 Citations open
5 Replications open
Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state
The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.
Receipt and verification
First computed 2026-05-18T00:44:45.930578Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

f4796089a6eed3b29175a54a109a1319cbe14776086d1d980e8cba1fc9fdb2aa

Aliases

arxiv: 1608.05002 · arxiv_version: 1608.05002v4 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.1608.05002 · pith_short_12: 6R4WBCNG53J3 · pith_short_16: 6R4WBCNG53J3FELV · pith_short_8: 6R4WBCNG
Agent API
Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/6R4WBCNG53J3FELVUVFBBGQTDH \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: f4796089a6eed3b29175a54a109a1319cbe14776086d1d980e8cba1fc9fdb2aa
Canonical record JSON
{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "ab35b9f50a56df7e2d6fe835dd765697627981f454f3523b87b4bdeccabc7a94",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "q-fin.EC",
      "stat.TH"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "math.ST",
    "submitted_at": "2016-08-17T15:33:53Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "0be900f492d4ade6119ec7568fe57f178602708594c033e1538edfc286be3b35"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "1608.05002",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 4
  }
}