Pith Number

pith:6U5HTP5I

pith:2025:6U5HTP5IQ2TT6Y6DLAMTV2X7R4

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

FOReCAst: The Future Outcome Reasoning and Confidence Assessment Benchmark

Andreas Vlachos, Zhangdie Yuan, Zifeng Ding

arxiv:2502.19676 v4 · 2025-02-27 · cs.LG · cs.CL

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{6U5HTP5IQ2TT6Y6DLAMTV2X7R4}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T11:03:57.213038Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

f53a79bfa886a73f63c358193aeaff8f0204760d03a81ac6a4ef08ee6ac9a5eb

Aliases

arxiv: 2502.19676 · arxiv_version: 2502.19676v4 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2502.19676 · pith_short_12: 6U5HTP5IQ2TT · pith_short_16: 6U5HTP5IQ2TT6Y6D · pith_short_8: 6U5HTP5I

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/6U5HTP5IQ2TT6Y6DLAMTV2X7R4 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: f53a79bfa886a73f63c358193aeaff8f0204760d03a81ac6a4ef08ee6ac9a5eb

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "ea39729eba039918ae39022591a4f285baa279cd87a7bde15abdd6b0fb15eaf1",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.CL"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2025-02-27T01:36:00Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "9c9c74f7d6b82cf1ddc814ee997eeeade0f6e38a01c482d23c892cfe40d72c22"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2502.19676",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 4
  }
}