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pith:7ZLTME4S

pith:2026:7ZLTME4STBAETP4MTKRCD5I4H6
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PULSE: Generative Phase Evolution for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting

Fei Wang, Hu Chen, Xinyu Chen, Yangyou Liu, Yuankai Wu, Zezhi Shao

A simple MLP equipped with physical phase evolution modeling matches or exceeds complex models on non-stationary time series forecasting.

arxiv:2605.16793 v1 · 2026-05-16 · cs.LG

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3 Author claim open · sign in to claim
4 Citations open
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Claims

C1strongest claim

PULSE enables a simple MLP backbone to achieve state-of-the-art or highly competitive performance across 12 real-world benchmarks. This validates that a correct physics-informed inductive bias is far more critical than raw architectural complexity for non-stationary forecasting.

C2weakest assumption

The three physical hypotheses (Wold decomposition, dynamical phase evolution, and heteroscedastic manifold generation) provide a valid and useful formalization of non-stationary dynamics that directly translates into an effective forecasting architecture.

C3one line summary

PULSE formalizes non-stationary time series via three physical hypotheses and uses phase-anchored disentanglement plus a Phase Router to let a simple MLP reach competitive performance on 12 benchmarks.

References

51 extracted · 51 resolved · 0 Pith anchors

[1] International conference on learning representations , year=
[2] IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering , year=
[3] The Thirteenth International Conference on Learning Representations , year=
[4] Proceedings of the 30th ACM international conference on information & knowledge management , pages=
[5] Information geometry and its applications , author=. 2016 , publisher= 2016

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Receipt and verification
First computed 2026-05-20T00:03:22.358482Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

fe57361392984049bf8c9aa221f51c3fbcdbac0856d3f8342e1421e1d66d0ee6

Aliases

arxiv: 2605.16793 · arxiv_version: 2605.16793v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2605.16793 · pith_short_12: 7ZLTME4STBAE · pith_short_16: 7ZLTME4STBAETP4M · pith_short_8: 7ZLTME4S
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Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/7ZLTME4STBAETP4MTKRCD5I4H6 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: fe57361392984049bf8c9aa221f51c3fbcdbac0856d3f8342e1421e1d66d0ee6
Canonical record JSON
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    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2026-05-16T03:54:18Z",
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