pith:7ZLTME4S
PULSE: Generative Phase Evolution for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting
A simple MLP equipped with physical phase evolution modeling matches or exceeds complex models on non-stationary time series forecasting.
arxiv:2605.16793 v1 · 2026-05-16 · cs.LG
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Claims
PULSE enables a simple MLP backbone to achieve state-of-the-art or highly competitive performance across 12 real-world benchmarks. This validates that a correct physics-informed inductive bias is far more critical than raw architectural complexity for non-stationary forecasting.
The three physical hypotheses (Wold decomposition, dynamical phase evolution, and heteroscedastic manifold generation) provide a valid and useful formalization of non-stationary dynamics that directly translates into an effective forecasting architecture.
PULSE formalizes non-stationary time series via three physical hypotheses and uses phase-anchored disentanglement plus a Phase Router to let a simple MLP reach competitive performance on 12 benchmarks.
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Receipt and verification
| First computed | 2026-05-20T00:03:22.358482Z |
|---|---|
| Builder | pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1 |
| Signature | Pith Ed25519
(pith-v1-2026-05) · public key |
| Schema | pith-number/v1.0 |
Canonical hash
fe57361392984049bf8c9aa221f51c3fbcdbac0856d3f8342e1421e1d66d0ee6
Aliases
· · · · ·Agent API
Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/7ZLTME4STBAETP4MTKRCD5I4H6 \
| jq -c '.canonical_record' \
| python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: fe57361392984049bf8c9aa221f51c3fbcdbac0856d3f8342e1421e1d66d0ee6
Canonical record JSON
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