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Reduced-Order Surrogates for Forced Flexible Mesh Coastal-Ocean Models

Allan P. Engsig-Karup, Freja H{\o}gholm Petersen, Jesper Sandvig Mariegaard, Rocco Palmitessa

Koopman autoencoders with forcings deliver accurate year-long reduced-order surrogates for coastal-ocean models.

arxiv:2602.05416 v2 · 2026-02-05 · cs.CE · cs.AI · cs.LG · physics.ao-ph · physics.flu-dyn

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Claims

C1strongest claim

Across all cases, the reduced order surrogates with temporal unrolling achieve high accuracy with relative root-mean-squared-errors of 0.0068-0.14 and R²-values of 0.61-0.995... In two of the three cases, the Koopman Autoencoder have higher accuracy than the POD-based surrogates. Comparing to in-situ observations, the surrogate yields -0.64% to 12% increase in water surface elevation prediction error when compared to prediction errors of the physics-based model.

C2weakest assumption

That the learned linear temporal operator in latent space, regularized for eigenvalue stability, continues to produce bounded long-term trajectories when driven by real meteorological forcings outside the three tested regimes.

C3one line summary

Koopman autoencoders with forcings and temporal unrolling deliver accurate year-long predictions for coastal-ocean models at 300-1400x speedup, outperforming POD in two of three cases.

References

38 extracted · 38 resolved · 6 Pith anchors

[1] doi:10.48550/arXiv.2003.02236 2003 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2003.02236
[2] Brunton, S.L., Brunton, B.W., Proctor, J.L., Kutz, J.N · doi:10.1029/2024gl112835
[3] and Brunton, Bingni W · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150171
[4] On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approaches · arXiv:1409.1259
[5] URL:https://comune 2025
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First computed 2026-06-19T16:12:18.439363Z
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013e985fefa5ceade1cb49258d6612fff885412f839049b10b521eef09799c39

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arxiv: 2602.05416 · arxiv_version: 2602.05416v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2602.05416 · pith_short_12: AE7JQX7PUXHK · pith_short_16: AE7JQX7PUXHK3YOL · pith_short_8: AE7JQX7P
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curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/AE7JQX7PUXHK3YOLJESY2ZQS77 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 013e985fefa5ceade1cb49258d6612fff885412f839049b10b521eef09799c39
Canonical record JSON
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