Pith Number

pith:BEHL4VYM

pith:2024:BEHL4VYMCGL7EG5Q3QFZZ3WY5K

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Consistency Checks for Language Model Forecasters

Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir, Adam Shen, Alejandro Alvarez, Daniel Paleka, Evan Wang, Florian Tram\`er, Vineeth Bhat

arxiv:2412.18544 v2 · 2024-12-24 · cs.LG · cs.AI · cs.CL · stat.ML

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{BEHL4VYMCGL7EG5Q3QFZZ3WY5K}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

2 papers in Pith

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T09:59:21.779158Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

090ebe570c1197f21bb0dc0b9ceed8ea92c314b1c7bbfbb8b6e3d7b72f5bfefe

Aliases

arxiv: 2412.18544 · arxiv_version: 2412.18544v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2412.18544 · pith_short_12: BEHL4VYMCGL7 · pith_short_16: BEHL4VYMCGL7EG5Q · pith_short_8: BEHL4VYM

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/BEHL4VYMCGL7EG5Q3QFZZ3WY5K \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 090ebe570c1197f21bb0dc0b9ceed8ea92c314b1c7bbfbb8b6e3d7b72f5bfefe

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "46de5aaae8aa8aede29143fbd9c290fdc5b069bb592a76471122fc71f8a7fcf7",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI",
      "cs.CL",
      "stat.ML"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2024-12-24T16:51:35Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "947e31dfe89de9d0e1020d8642137495d860c5c5d5e55aefd0dd1519db2432ec"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2412.18544",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}