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Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models

James Y. Zhang, Lintao Ma, Ming Jin, Pin-Yu Chen, Qingsong Wen, Shirui Pan, Shiyu Wang, Xiaoming Shi, Yuan-Fang Li, Yuxuan Liang, Zhixuan Chu

Reprogramming time series inputs with text prototypes lets frozen large language models generate accurate forecasts without retraining.

arxiv:2310.01728 v2 · 2023-10-03 · cs.LG · cs.AI

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Claims

C1strongest claim

Our comprehensive evaluations demonstrate that Time-LLM is a powerful time series learner that outperforms state-of-the-art, specialized forecasting models. Moreover, Time-LLM excels in both few-shot and zero-shot learning scenarios.

C2weakest assumption

That reprogramming time series inputs with text prototypes and Prompt-as-Prefix successfully aligns the modalities so the frozen LLM's reasoning transfers without substantial loss of temporal structure or introduction of artifacts.

C3one line summary

Time-LLM reprograms frozen LLMs for time series forecasting via text prototypes and Prompt-as-Prefix, outperforming specialized models in standard, few-shot, and zero-shot settings.

References

112 extracted · 112 resolved · 4 Pith anchors

[1] Kingma and Jimmy Ba , title =
[3] Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , volume=
[4] IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems , year=
[5] Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , volume=
[7] Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining , pages=

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33 papers in Pith

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1b288acd350970e955193e4fce6f0f37bb785b217462bafe1c85711d592a442a

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arxiv: 2310.01728 · arxiv_version: 2310.01728v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2310.01728 · pith_short_12: DMUIVTJVBFYO · pith_short_16: DMUIVTJVBFYOSVIZ · pith_short_8: DMUIVTJV
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curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/DMUIVTJVBFYOSVIZHZH443YPG6 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 1b288acd350970e955193e4fce6f0f37bb785b217462bafe1c85711d592a442a
Canonical record JSON
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