Pith Number

pith:GGYXMVBV

pith:2025:GGYXMVBVR2U37SFJMGJC272RZX

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Probabilistic Prediction Markets with Intermittent Contributions

Michael Vitali, Pierre Pinson

arxiv:2510.13385 v3 · 2025-10-15 · cs.LG

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{GGYXMVBVR2U37SFJMGJC272RZX}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-05-18T02:44:33.084407Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

31b17654358ea9bfc8a961922d7f51cdfbe870fa8d0976c8a96e88f956f9c5f5

Aliases

arxiv: 2510.13385 · arxiv_version: 2510.13385v3 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2510.13385 · pith_short_12: GGYXMVBVR2U3 · pith_short_16: GGYXMVBVR2U37SFJ · pith_short_8: GGYXMVBV

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/GGYXMVBVR2U37SFJMGJC272RZX \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 31b17654358ea9bfc8a961922d7f51cdfbe870fa8d0976c8a96e88f956f9c5f5

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "147e164ae787ba0c2230918a695e42b9b9dcc678caac865f1ecc858793a5cb5c",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2025-10-15T10:23:28Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "751a0e0773b38f6bbedf218defa68bc8cadbfb6296fbe7dfa8801a291361d1b4"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2510.13385",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 3
  }
}