Pith. sign in
Pith Number

pith:GQ6OYDSC

pith:2025:GQ6OYDSC2WP6MKSMVSNROWYWM7
not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Not quite Sherlock Holmes: Language model predictions do not reliably differentiate impossible from improbable events

Benjamin K. Bergen, James A. Michaelov, Reeka Estacio, Zhien Zhang

arxiv:2506.06808 v1 · 2025-06-07 · cs.CL · cs.AI

Add to your LaTeX paper
\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{GQ6OYDSC2WP6MKSMVSNROWYWM7}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp
2 Internet Archive
3 Author claim open · sign in to claim
4 Citations open
5 Replications open
Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state
The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.
Receipt and verification
First computed 2026-07-05T11:17:55.991390Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

343cec0e42d59fe62a4cac9b175b1667cd1c25cf2ca13fd2262b0530e717e59c

Aliases

arxiv: 2506.06808 · arxiv_version: 2506.06808v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2506.06808 · pith_short_12: GQ6OYDSC2WP6 · pith_short_16: GQ6OYDSC2WP6MKSM · pith_short_8: GQ6OYDSC
Agent API
Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/GQ6OYDSC2WP6MKSMVSNROWYWM7 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 343cec0e42d59fe62a4cac9b175b1667cd1c25cf2ca13fd2262b0530e717e59c
Canonical record JSON
{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "677aca8aa763af050a5c5f0444238c5520938ce81e1529cd7aa4c7bb29a2c1cc",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CL",
    "submitted_at": "2025-06-07T14:08:30Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "660546c94942e074fba9384346c19d75c8fe4501e1cb508e109a2b6c8304052b"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2506.06808",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}