Pith Number

pith:HYZHQMF4

pith:2012:HYZHQMF4PSP3ISCSQULMK3XOJT

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Probability and Asset Updating using Bayesian Networks for Combinatorial Prediction Markets

Charles Twardy, Kathryn Blackmond Laskey, Robin Hanson, Wei Sun

arxiv:1210.4900 v1 · 2012-10-16 · cs.AI · q-fin.TR

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{HYZHQMF4PSP3ISCSQULMK3XOJT}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-05-18T03:42:55.048870Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

3e327830bc7c9fb448528516c56eee4cf18b45c2af1f32ebc25fb2368ebe011a

Aliases

arxiv: 1210.4900 · arxiv_version: 1210.4900v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.1210.4900 · pith_short_12: HYZHQMF4PSP3 · pith_short_16: HYZHQMF4PSP3ISCS · pith_short_8: HYZHQMF4

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/HYZHQMF4PSP3ISCSQULMK3XOJT \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 3e327830bc7c9fb448528516c56eee4cf18b45c2af1f32ebc25fb2368ebe011a

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "28497385664582311eee3dfab59ba5641c823a76cb3ef1b4d92f389c1d29e553",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "q-fin.TR"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.AI",
    "submitted_at": "2012-10-16T17:50:37Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "761c88d5dadfaf993f2de15427fb854088e7cc0bc44ac508833adce0ecb2d32c"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "1210.4900",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}