Pith Number

pith:IQAV2AP3

pith:2026:IQAV2AP3Y5AABLSV2YKSUZ4CJB

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

What Prediction Markets Can See: Market Formation, Settlement Legibility, and the Geography of Tradable Uncertainty in Africa and Latin America

Ade Adegbenro

arxiv:2606.17503 v1 · 2026-06-13 · econ.GN · q-fin.EC

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{IQAV2AP3Y5AABLSV2YKSUZ4CJB}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-06-19T16:10:14.558906Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

44015d01fbc74000ae55d6152a678248728fed6cc80591ad49b9702d634a2bb7

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.17503 · arxiv_version: 2606.17503v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.17503 · pith_short_12: IQAV2AP3Y5AA · pith_short_16: IQAV2AP3Y5AABLSV · pith_short_8: IQAV2AP3

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/IQAV2AP3Y5AABLSV2YKSUZ4CJB \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 44015d01fbc74000ae55d6152a678248728fed6cc80591ad49b9702d634a2bb7

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "c4edc96d2ee310786b50e17ebf0538b7e6c94878bbbe474840c1fbcfcc2322e8",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "q-fin.EC"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "econ.GN",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-13T01:05:41Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "44ffbbd70e4f1e6466b9c114043f55bc60d24d10d3155fb357a61e1d1d1b7b99"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.17503",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}