Pith Number

pith:IYSJQ4FP

pith:2025:IYSJQ4FPBV6KOCFHC4VLWNOVLE

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Do Betting Markets Sense a Goal Coming? Evidence from the German Bundesliga

Christian Deutscher, David Winkelmann

arxiv:2505.21275 v1 · 2025-05-27 · econ.GN · q-fin.EC

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{IYSJQ4FPBV6KOCFHC4VLWNOVLE}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T11:10:39.683924Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

46249870af0d7ca708a7172abb35d5593fe9c4dfc8919fcafe60ce94adbfc8ef

Aliases

arxiv: 2505.21275 · arxiv_version: 2505.21275v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2505.21275 · pith_short_12: IYSJQ4FPBV6K · pith_short_16: IYSJQ4FPBV6KOCFH · pith_short_8: IYSJQ4FP

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/IYSJQ4FPBV6KOCFHC4VLWNOVLE \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 46249870af0d7ca708a7172abb35d5593fe9c4dfc8919fcafe60ce94adbfc8ef

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "1dc51d9d9e01b4aadc7467d17b2fb9320dae538139d685d84d10391e8ad72f56",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "q-fin.EC"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "econ.GN",
    "submitted_at": "2025-05-27T14:47:20Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "18a00e26692f2e8ff2211fa5ba83a964567b28d28fe781db5d6cf35c3bb5bd05"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2505.21275",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}