Pith Number

pith:KQKYEJVN

pith:2012:KQKYEJVNOS2Y3NTAXI6JIXZ5LE

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error As Branching Counterfactuals

Nassim N. Taleb

arxiv:1209.2298 v1 · 2012-09-11 · q-fin.RM · stat.AP

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{KQKYEJVNOS2Y3NTAXI6JIXZ5LE}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-05-18T03:45:52.258057Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

54158226ad74b58db660ba3c945f3d5911f42380e73a2ab15a1ae54889ee75af

Aliases

arxiv: 1209.2298 · arxiv_version: 1209.2298v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.1209.2298 · pith_short_12: KQKYEJVNOS2Y · pith_short_16: KQKYEJVNOS2Y3NTA · pith_short_8: KQKYEJVN

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/KQKYEJVNOS2Y3NTAXI6JIXZ5LE \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 54158226ad74b58db660ba3c945f3d5911f42380e73a2ab15a1ae54889ee75af

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "bf7159b07f8bc85fa6ac4d4705ca321e2e33175014c3788af854faf423661fdb",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "stat.AP"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "q-fin.RM",
    "submitted_at": "2012-09-11T12:18:56Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "b5c57328d7dd0177126de829f6ae11609830cc79e7375b99e6b1760be6fdc67c"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "1209.2298",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}