Pith Number

pith:KTNROTK5

pith:2025:KTNROTK5B2GG3M2O72KCQUFDFX

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Leveraging Log Probabilities in Language Models to Forecast Future Events

Jim Marshall, Tommaso Soru

arxiv:2501.04880 v1 · 2025-01-08 · cs.CL · cs.LG

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{KTNROTK5B2GG3M2O72KCQUFDFX}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T09:58:47.928635Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

54db174d5d0e8c6db34efe942850a32de2ddcdc2f88b416eb9338b3ac892efcd

Aliases

arxiv: 2501.04880 · arxiv_version: 2501.04880v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2501.04880 · pith_short_12: KTNROTK5B2GG · pith_short_16: KTNROTK5B2GG3M2O · pith_short_8: KTNROTK5

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/KTNROTK5B2GG3M2O72KCQUFDFX \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 54db174d5d0e8c6db34efe942850a32de2ddcdc2f88b416eb9338b3ac892efcd

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "21fa84de95984833105edb9e195bea0f839b40d7580b814632b0afb003335e44",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.LG"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CL",
    "submitted_at": "2025-01-08T23:28:28Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "ac380c65ad4c8c90ac3b0bb095603fe2d5ec41a67b1ae011d6eb42909319b527"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2501.04880",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}