Pith Number

pith:LIEZQ7XY

pith:2026:LIEZQ7XYN2CLICEJCJIQIQB6OU

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

The Limits of LLM Forecasting: Parametric Knowledge Gaps Across Conflict Zones

Poli Nemkova

arxiv:2607.00018 v1 · 2026-05-29 · cs.CY

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{LIEZQ7XYN2CLICEJCJIQIQB6OU}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-02T00:18:31.343980Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

5a09987ef86e84b40889125104403e7514175662d331270dbfae01abb5bbc5ac

Aliases

arxiv: 2607.00018 · arxiv_version: 2607.00018v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2607.00018 · pith_short_12: LIEZQ7XYN2CL · pith_short_16: LIEZQ7XYN2CLICEJ · pith_short_8: LIEZQ7XY

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/LIEZQ7XYN2CLICEJCJIQIQB6OU \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 5a09987ef86e84b40889125104403e7514175662d331270dbfae01abb5bbc5ac

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "d4d3a8522f85c85e4064f648c57bd3dc8201e065ff3d54a5863b51e8e2ef75ad",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CY",
    "submitted_at": "2026-05-29T19:00:48Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "c158d57e00a995c5ac33110e52fdef99370e325662baa690f84ba178b5162985"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2607.00018",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}