Pith Number

pith:M7LDQ3SA

pith:2010:M7LDQ3SAKYKVAJL3ZNLTX5JVUL

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Predicting Inflation: Professional Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts

Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting

arxiv:1010.2318 v1 · 2010-10-12 · stat.AP

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{M7LDQ3SAKYKVAJL3ZNLTX5JVUL}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

Accurate and Reliable Uncertainty Estimates for Deterministic Predictions Extensions to Under and Overpredictions

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-05-18T04:39:28.272367Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

67d6386e40561550257bcb573bf535a2c3edb67a8288a23eaf85de4b3e44a099

Aliases

arxiv: 1010.2318 · arxiv_version: 1010.2318v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.1010.2318 · pith_short_12: M7LDQ3SAKYKV · pith_short_16: M7LDQ3SAKYKVAJL3 · pith_short_8: M7LDQ3SA

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/M7LDQ3SAKYKVAJL3ZNLTX5JVUL \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 67d6386e40561550257bcb573bf535a2c3edb67a8288a23eaf85de4b3e44a099

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "2d83c1802191b1afec3e1e964b410a5d94ecce935e6c979869a23ce04800f483",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "stat.AP",
    "submitted_at": "2010-10-12T08:01:37Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "60c7a559c95b8727ec8f1e269b6ee13dba0c949a58b5303d77760781daa4101f"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "1010.2318",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}