Pith Number

pith:NGTFDE3O

pith:2017:NGTFDE3ONANYGVKVGNWMQCH6ZL

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

A Decomposition of Forecast Error in Prediction Markets

Jennifer Wortman Vaughan, Miroslav Dud\'ik, Ryan Rogers, S\'ebastien Lahaie

arxiv:1702.07810 v2 · 2017-02-25 · cs.GT

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{NGTFDE3ONANYGVKVGNWMQCH6ZL}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-05-18T00:22:52.897143Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

69a651936e681b835555336cc808fecacf7199c3a3d2f5a7b9a87d14b7b36f8e

Aliases

arxiv: 1702.07810 · arxiv_version: 1702.07810v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.1702.07810 · pith_short_12: NGTFDE3ONANY · pith_short_16: NGTFDE3ONANYGVKV · pith_short_8: NGTFDE3O

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/NGTFDE3ONANYGVKVGNWMQCH6ZL \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 69a651936e681b835555336cc808fecacf7199c3a3d2f5a7b9a87d14b7b36f8e

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "98b5a461d503a1b5db3a7e5005ea70037bae2a6a5e1feb28275d45e82b2ce1cf",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.GT",
    "submitted_at": "2017-02-25T00:05:57Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "ab5df3fa476c643626946b5701d894b63dc9d20ac683ec1ab909819e2dae37c0"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "1702.07810",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}