Pith Number

pith:NIU5DMLH

pith:2026:NIU5DMLHQA6U5SXJB5WESY7Y6T

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Expectations vs. Realities: The Cost of MSE-Optimal Forecasting Under Conditional Uncertainty

Riku Green, Telmo M Silva Filho, Zahraa S. Abdallah

arxiv:2606.04342 v1 · 2026-06-03 · cs.LG · cs.AI

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{NIU5DMLHQA6U5SXJB5WESY7Y6T}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

Deployment-Side Adaptiveness in Multi-Horizon Volatility Forecasting

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-06-04T01:09:04.258822Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

6a29d1b167803d4ecae90f6c4963f8f4efd21fd5743435c7151a68ea02e928ca

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.04342 · arxiv_version: 2606.04342v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.04342 · pith_short_12: NIU5DMLHQA6U · pith_short_16: NIU5DMLHQA6U5SXJ · pith_short_8: NIU5DMLH

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/NIU5DMLHQA6U5SXJB5WESY7Y6T \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 6a29d1b167803d4ecae90f6c4963f8f4efd21fd5743435c7151a68ea02e928ca

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "ef1655a516742636d4abe5ed6b9b803aa194804ead4742554821903b65253d1b",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-03T01:50:32Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "61bbf1929cc22c77e73c95d8b1f9193f0f9a2cce77406e544a4aecaf27df8400"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.04342",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}