Pith Number

pith:OS7Y7TRM

pith:2020:OS7Y7TRMP2HNFZI4MKKCI24O22

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions

Michael Pfarrhofer

arxiv:2004.04984 v1 · 2020-04-10 · econ.EM · stat.AP

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{OS7Y7TRMP2HNFZI4MKKCI24O22}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T00:54:24.384277Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

74bf8fce2c7e8ed2e51c6294246b8ed6a44a9c09f6da4173dda30b8789744ad6

Aliases

arxiv: 2004.04984 · arxiv_version: 2004.04984v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2004.04984 · pith_short_12: OS7Y7TRMP2HN · pith_short_16: OS7Y7TRMP2HNFZI4 · pith_short_8: OS7Y7TRM

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/OS7Y7TRMP2HNFZI4MKKCI24O22 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 74bf8fce2c7e8ed2e51c6294246b8ed6a44a9c09f6da4173dda30b8789744ad6

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "66d8398e44b76866f008318d053860b686cafb52d2d06e409e28051faf2e7add",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "stat.AP"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "econ.EM",
    "submitted_at": "2020-04-10T10:43:48Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "0eee074d8a866f5c35d3e6e6f379152fc84058fc2498616a3272218b9c8e9956"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2004.04984",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}