pith:RHBE5DU4
LLMs Uncertainty Quantification via Adaptive Conformal Semantic Entropy
Adaptive Conformal Semantic Entropy quantifies LLM prompt uncertainty by clustering responses according to semantic similarity and applies conformal calibration to bound error rates on accepted outputs.
arxiv:2605.04295 v2 · 2026-05-05 · cs.LG · cs.AI
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\pithnumber{RHBE5DU4JD6RIXAS5G4SUULJVR}
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Claims
Our uncertainty scoring function is based on clustering semantic entropy of multiple diverse responses to the same prompt. The function adaptively adjusts the uncertainty score based on semantic features of each cluster. ... providing a finite-sample, distribution-free guarantee such that the error rate among the accepted responses remains bounded by a user-specified tolerance.
That clustering responses by semantic similarity reliably captures meaningful dispersion in model knowledge and that the adaptive adjustment based on cluster features produces a valid uncertainty score without introducing bias or requiring post-hoc tuning that violates the conformal guarantees.
ACSE estimates LLM prompt uncertainty via adaptive clustering of semantic entropy across multiple responses and uses conformal prediction to bound error rates on accepted answers with distribution-free guarantees.
Formal links
Receipt and verification
| First computed | 2026-05-26T01:03:32.190496Z |
|---|---|
| Builder | pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1 |
| Signature | Pith Ed25519
(pith-v1-2026-05) · public key |
| Schema | pith-number/v1.0 |
Canonical hash
89c24e8e9c48fd145c12e9b92a5169ac54d28388c9f92ce0ec352cbe34c7955b
Aliases
· · · · ·Agent API
Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/RHBE5DU4JD6RIXAS5G4SUULJVR \
| jq -c '.canonical_record' \
| python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 89c24e8e9c48fd145c12e9b92a5169ac54d28388c9f92ce0ec352cbe34c7955b
Canonical record JSON
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