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pith:VAS3NYIR

pith:2026:VAS3NYIRLQAMP7K53RN3DBCSBK
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Lunar nutation effect defines the sign of the Earth rotation rate for now, but this may change soon

Oleg Titov

The 18.6-year lunar nutation cycle now fully dictates Earth's length-of-day changes, overriding the long-term secular slowdown.

arxiv:2604.11126 v2 · 2026-04-13 · astro-ph.EP

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Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp
2 Internet Archive
3 Author claim open · sign in to claim
4 Citations open
5 Replications open
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The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Claims

C1strongest claim

At the moment the LOD changes are completely determined by a signal with a period of 18.6 years. More detailed extrapolation reveals that LOD is likely to vary in a range between -1 ms to +1 ms until 2050 or may be longer.

C2weakest assumption

That the 18.6-year lunar nutation signal and other harmonics can be cleanly separated from the secular trend in the LOD time series without significant cross-talk, data selection effects, or unmodeled noise that would alter the conclusion of complete current dominance.

C3one line summary

Current LOD variations are completely determined by the 18.6-year lunar nutation signal, with day length expected to stay within -1 ms to +1 ms of average until 2050 or longer.

Receipt and verification
First computed 2026-06-23T03:13:57.125313Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

a825b6e1115c00c7fd5ddc5bb184520a9761eb79840ff2718cd0b44ee4c6b890

Aliases

arxiv: 2604.11126 · arxiv_version: 2604.11126v2 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2604.11126 · pith_short_12: VAS3NYIRLQAM · pith_short_16: VAS3NYIRLQAMP7K5 · pith_short_8: VAS3NYIR
Agent API
Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/VAS3NYIRLQAMP7K53RN3DBCSBK \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: a825b6e1115c00c7fd5ddc5bb184520a9761eb79840ff2718cd0b44ee4c6b890
Canonical record JSON
{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "3dd4662c3dc911d291e6a025a068c97a49211ec82bf79d906cd4bb64e6216cb3",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "astro-ph.EP",
    "submitted_at": "2026-04-13T07:41:58Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "84ef8e4081b710bbf51f00b0abe515bedfaec8329661483d0c7955eb3080ab3b"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2604.11126",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 2
  }
}