Pith Number

pith:VC6QLCSD

pith:2026:VC6QLCSDF2I7IYXRZUWXFOCZOG

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Hierarchical Bayes meets hierarchical forecasting: A flexible framework for level-focused forecasts

Arwen Nugteren, Christopher Drovandi, Kerrie Mengersen, Mahdi Abolghasemi

arxiv:2606.23009 v1 · 2026-06-22 · stat.ME

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{VC6QLCSDF2I7IYXRZUWXFOCZOG}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-06-23T03:14:06.646462Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

a8bd058a432e91f462f1cd2d72b859719786eccb49a8fdc6ef66ee4c1018f7cd

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.23009 · arxiv_version: 2606.23009v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.23009 · pith_short_12: VC6QLCSDF2I7 · pith_short_16: VC6QLCSDF2I7IYXR · pith_short_8: VC6QLCSD

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/VC6QLCSDF2I7IYXRZUWXFOCZOG \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: a8bd058a432e91f462f1cd2d72b859719786eccb49a8fdc6ef66ee4c1018f7cd

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "20d91c0ceb3bf9f9ce01439c8dfc21b566d4e032f1bfc169930c8e09a91b85e8",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "stat.ME",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-22T08:22:13Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "09da7593318da41ea9ea1fd08713d427f088e42263f0514f55fb48d39ecbb92e"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.23009",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}