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pith:YZ5ALXTV

pith:2026:YZ5ALXTVSLLOUYYSLIDULAK7PG
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U-SEG: Uncertainty in SEGmentation -- A systematic multi-variable exploration

Frank P. Ferrie, Michael Smith

A broad test of uncertainty estimation in segmentation finds that harder panoptic tasks reduce performance and that results vary sharply across datasets and backbones.

arxiv:2605.15421 v1 · 2026-05-14 · cs.CV

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4 Citations open
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Claims

C1strongest claim

a) the more challenging task of panoptic segmentation usually results in worse performance while high performance variance between datasets and backbones indicates that generalization is not guaranteed, b) time series samples can be useful for specific configurations, but in many cases are not worth the cost, c) sample diversity shows the most promise in the downstream task of calibration, but otherwise fails to beat simpler alternatives, d) a deterministic approach is adequate for some downstream tasks, but ensembles allow for significant improvements if the right conditions can be achieved in deployment.

C2weakest assumption

The chosen collection of datasets, backbones, downstream tasks, and uncertainty methods is representative enough of real-world variability that the observed performance patterns can be treated as general guidance rather than artifacts of the specific experimental slice.

C3one line summary

Systematic multi-variable experiments show panoptic segmentation yields poorer uncertainty quality than semantic, with high variance across datasets and backbones, limited value from time-series samples, calibration gains from sample diversity, and conditional benefits from ensembles over single det

References

87 extracted · 87 resolved · 0 Pith anchors

[1] Improving Multi-Class Cali- bration through Normalization-Aware Isotonic Techniques 2025
[2] Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning for Automated Skin Can- cer Classification: A Comprehensive Evaluation.arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.10302, 2025 2025
[3] Test-time Data Augmentation for Estimation of Heteroscedastic Aleatoric Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks 2018
[4] FLOSS: Free Lunch in Open-vocabulary Semantic Segmentation 2025
[5] Weight Uncertainty in Neural Network 2015

Formal links

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Receipt and verification
First computed 2026-05-20T00:00:57.695989Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

c67a05de7592d6ea63125a0745815f798923b503cc49daaf38efc42675c612a1

Aliases

arxiv: 2605.15421 · arxiv_version: 2605.15421v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2605.15421 · pith_short_12: YZ5ALXTVSLLO · pith_short_16: YZ5ALXTVSLLOUYYS · pith_short_8: YZ5ALXTV
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Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/YZ5ALXTVSLLOUYYSLIDULAK7PG \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: c67a05de7592d6ea63125a0745815f798923b503cc49daaf38efc42675c612a1
Canonical record JSON
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    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CV",
    "submitted_at": "2026-05-14T21:08:04Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "ed071394cbbc7205257ce391a4854594ca7350b78245c014533481619b002697"
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