Pith Number

pith:ZRMICGJL

pith:2026:ZRMICGJLBK2NMKP2T3CK6T46K6

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

When do prophets profit in prediction markets?

Alec Sun, Anri Gu, Haifeng Xu, Jibang Wu, Nicole Kagan

arxiv:2607.06166 v1 · 2026-07-07 · cs.AI · cs.CE · cs.GT

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{ZRMICGJLBK2NMKP2T3CK6T46K6}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-08T01:18:59.011883Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

cc5881192b0ab4d629fa9ec4af4f9e57952e519e734c0a7d6b4d68368691a093

Aliases

arxiv: 2607.06166 · arxiv_version: 2607.06166v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2607.06166 · pith_short_12: ZRMICGJLBK2N · pith_short_16: ZRMICGJLBK2NMKP2 · pith_short_8: ZRMICGJL

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/ZRMICGJLBK2NMKP2T3CK6T46K6 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: cc5881192b0ab4d629fa9ec4af4f9e57952e519e734c0a7d6b4d68368691a093

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "c59220e63e52da5079bfacee9cc0f34085ae0aad34f5c27a0bd3997713ca2a64",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.CE",
      "cs.GT"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.AI",
    "submitted_at": "2026-07-07T11:41:46Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "0ff9194ba6c7f7be1d81bf0816ece14f1ff48b006425110220c09910b01df8f4"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2607.06166",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}