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theorem proved term proof

bayesian_vindicated

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formal statement (Lean)

 165theorem bayesian_vindicated :
 166    -- Every observer conflates distinct states (information is lost)
 167    -- This means probability depends on the observer's information state
 168    ∀ (obs : Observer),
 169    ∃ x y : ℝ, x ≠ y ∧ project obs x = project obs y := by

proof body

Term-mode proof.

 170  intro obs
 171  exact projection_lossy obs
 172
 173/-- **Theorem (Resolution Increases Precision)**:
 174    Both a low-resolution and a high-resolution observer are lossy,
 175    but the high-resolution observer has finer fiber structure.
 176    This is the Bayesian "learning = refinement" claim.
 177
 178    Formalization: Both observers conflate some states, but the number of
 179    distinct fibers (= distinct probabilities) is different. -/

depends on (22)

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