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IsFalsifier
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IndisputableMonolith.Cosmology.HubbleTensionBound on GitHub at line 61.
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58
59/-- A measurement is a falsifier iff it sits below the predicted band by
60more than the band width (rough 2σ proxy). -/
61def IsFalsifier (h0_ratio : ℝ) : Prop :=
62 h0_ratio < hubbleRatioLower - (hubbleRatioUpper - hubbleRatioLower)
63
64/-- Consistency and falsification are mutually exclusive. -/
65theorem consistency_excludes_falsification {h0 : ℝ} :
66 ¬ (IsConsistentWithRS h0 ∧ IsFalsifier h0) := by
67 rintro ⟨⟨h_lo, _⟩, h_excl⟩
68 unfold IsFalsifier at h_excl
69 unfold hubbleRatioLower hubbleRatioUpper at *
70 linarith
71
72structure HubbleTensionCert where
73 band_nontrivial : hubbleRatioLower < hubbleRatioUpper
74 empirical_in_band :
75 hubbleRatioLower < empiricalCentral ∧ empiricalCentral < hubbleRatioUpper
76 consistency_excludes_falsification :
77 ∀ {h0 : ℝ}, ¬ (IsConsistentWithRS h0 ∧ IsFalsifier h0)
78
79/-- Hubble-tension predictive-band certificate. -/
80def hubbleTensionCert : HubbleTensionCert where
81 band_nontrivial := band_nontrivial
82 empirical_in_band := empiricalCentral_in_band
83 consistency_excludes_falsification := consistency_excludes_falsification
84
85end
86end HubbleTensionBound
87end Cosmology
88end IndisputableMonolith