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Approximating Peak Prevalence in Multistage SIR Epidemics

q-bio.PE · 2026-07-01 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

In multistage SI(k)R models, the relationship between prevalence peak and weighted stage functional maxima varies with scaling of progression rates, converging under Erlang scaling to a delay model that justifies the factor-two approximation with error bounds and corrections.

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