An adaptive Bayesian forecaster that updates the generalised logit shape parameter online improved average CRPS skill over fixed-shape and classical adaptive baselines across 101 UK wind farms.
(2011) Very short-term wind power forecasting with neural networks and adaptive bayesian learning
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Adaptive Bayesian Very Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on the Generalised Logit Transformation
An adaptive Bayesian forecaster that updates the generalised logit shape parameter online improved average CRPS skill over fixed-shape and classical adaptive baselines across 101 UK wind farms.