A disinterested Bayesian Predictor trained on contextualized statements has low probability of producing harmful agency because dangerous behaviors require rare coordinated underestimation of harm with no training signal favoring them.
Loss as the inconsistency of a probabilistic dependency graph: Choose your model, not your loss function, 2022
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Safety from Honesty in a Disinterested AI Predictor
A disinterested Bayesian Predictor trained on contextualized statements has low probability of producing harmful agency because dangerous behaviors require rare coordinated underestimation of harm with no training signal favoring them.