Risk-controlled post-processing yields a threshold-structured policy that follows the baseline except where an oracle fallback sharply reduces conditional violation risk, achieving O(log n/n) expected excess risk in i.i.d. settings and exact risk control under exchangeability.
arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.10301 , year=
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Introduces policy-coupled coverage for conformal prediction in counterfactual decisions and the PC-RACP procedure that achieves higher utility with finite-sample coverage guarantees.
citing papers explorer
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Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies
Risk-controlled post-processing yields a threshold-structured policy that follows the baseline except where an oracle fallback sharply reduces conditional violation risk, achieving O(log n/n) expected excess risk in i.i.d. settings and exact risk control under exchangeability.
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Prediction Sets for Counterfactual Decisions: Coverage, Optimality, and Conformal Prediction
Introduces policy-coupled coverage for conformal prediction in counterfactual decisions and the PC-RACP procedure that achieves higher utility with finite-sample coverage guarantees.